‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, July 2, 2026
STL @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, July 2, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
7:15 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Dustin May · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate14.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.7%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)13.3%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (L)14.6%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)13.0%3.0 PA
4Michael Harris II (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)12.2%3.0 PA
6Dominic Smith (L)11.9%2.3 PA
7Austin Riley (R)10.1%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.3%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)16.2%2.0 PA
Hurston Waldrep · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.2 BF
Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)13.8%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)12.8%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)11.7%2.3 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)10.8%2.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)13.1%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.6%2.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)12.8%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jimmy Crooks (L)7.5%2.0 PA