MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIN @ NYY Earned Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
vs
7:05 PM EDT
NYY
New York Yankees
NYY
Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft

MIN Mike Paredes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.9 BF

Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ben Rice (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Jasson Domínguez (L)11.7%2.9 PA
3Cody Bellinger (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Amed Rosario (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Anthony Volpe (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Austin Wells (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8José Caballero (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Oswaldo Cabrera (L)11.7%2.0 PA

NYY Gerrit Cole · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.7%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)14.8%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)14.7%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)13.4%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)13.8%3.0 PA
5Royce Lewis (R)10.8%2.9 PA
6Victor Caratini (L)12.1%2.0 PA
7Ryan Kreidler (R)14.1%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)9.8%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)15.7%2.0 PA