‹ Earned Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026
TB @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
vs
8:15 PM EDT
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft
Nick Martinez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.7% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)12.6%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.3%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)10.7%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)10.7%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)11.2%3.0 PA
6Taylor Trammell (L)12.6%2.9 PA
7Yainer Diaz (R)9.3%2.0 PA
8Joey Loperfido (L)11.0%2.0 PA
9Raynel Delgado (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)13.4%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)13.8%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)14.3%3.0 PA
4Victor Mesa Jr. (L)13.3%3.0 PA
5Chandler Simpson (L)10.4%3.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)12.3%2.3 PA
7Taylor Walls (L)14.1%2.0 PA
8Richie Palacios (L)11.6%2.0 PA
9Hunter Feduccia (L)11.7%2.0 PA