MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

CWS @ CLE Earned Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

CWS
CWS
Chicago White Sox
vs
7:10 PM EDT
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Progressive FieldElevation 653 ftCenter Field 405 ft

CWS Anthony Kay · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.1%
vs RHB11.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CLE lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)9.3%3.0 PA
2Chase DeLauter (L)10.8%3.0 PA
3Kyle Manzardo (L)9.0%3.0 PA
4Kahlil Watson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Brayan Rocchio (R)10.8%2.4 PA
6Cooper Ingle (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Arias (R)9.8%2.0 PA
8Patrick Bailey (R)11.3%2.0 PA
9Steven Kwan (L)10.4%2.0 PA

CLE Gavin Williams · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.5% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.9%
vs RHB10.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CWS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Sam Antonacci (L)16.3%3.0 PA
2Miguel Vargas (R)12.9%3.0 PA
3Kyle Teel (L)12.2%3.0 PA
4Andrew Benintendi (L)12.0%3.0 PA
5Colson Montgomery (L)13.0%3.0 PA
6Braden Montgomery (L)11.7%2.5 PA
7Chase Meidroth (R)13.0%2.0 PA
8Tristan Peters (L)13.4%2.0 PA
9Jacob Gonzalez (L)11.7%2.0 PA