MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

BAL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
vs
7:10 PM EDT
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft

BAL Trevor Rogers · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.1%
vs RHB11.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (R)11.6%3.0 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)11.4%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)10.5%3.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)11.5%3.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)9.9%2.9 PA
6Noelvi Marte (R)13.2%2.0 PA
7Edwin Arroyo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)12.9%2.0 PA
9TJ Friedl (L)10.5%2.0 PA

CIN Brady Singer · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.4% Runs / BF

vs LHB12.2%
vs RHB10.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Coby Mayo (R)11.7%2.2 PA
6Tyler O'Neill (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Leody Taveras (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0 PA