MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

STL @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
4:05 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

STL Andre Pallante · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.7%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.4 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA

CHC David Peterson · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.1%
vs RHB11.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)9.6%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)12.6%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)10.0%2.6 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)12.7%2.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)12.6%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.6%2.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)12.4%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jimmy Crooks (L)11.2%2.0 PA