MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIA @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
9:40 PM EDT
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft

MIA Tyler Phillips · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.1%
vs RHB9.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shea Langeliers (R)11.9%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)14.6%3.0 PA
3Colby Thomas (R)11.0%3.0 PA
4Jonah Heim (L)11.3%2.1 PA
5Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Lawrence Butler (L)13.5%2.0 PA
7Henry Bolte (R)8.2%2.0 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)9.6%2.0 PA
9Alika Williams (R)14.3%2.0 PA

ATH Jack Perkins · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.4 BF

Expected batters faced18.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)13.3%2.4 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)14.1%2.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)12.8%2.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)12.2%2.0 PA
5Griffin Conine (L)12.8%2.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)14.3%2.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)10.0%2.0 PA
8Javier Sanoja (R)12.1%2.0 PA
9Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA