MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIL @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
9:45 PM EDT
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft

MIL Kyle Harrison · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB9.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)16.7%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (R)11.0%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)12.9%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)11.7%2.6 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)10.4%2.0 PA
6Adrian Del Castillo (L)9.4%2.0 PA
7Nolan Arenado (R)14.6%2.0 PA
8Pavin Smith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)18.1%2.0 PA

AZ Jose Cabrera · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)15.5%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)13.1%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)14.3%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)13.4%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)17.0%2.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)13.7%2.0 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)12.0%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)12.3%2.0 PA