MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Thursday, May 21, 2026

NYM @ WSH Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
21
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 61°F CloudyWind 10 mph, In From CF

NYM David Peterson · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB25.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.3 BF

Expected batters faced20.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-154
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-167+125

We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)19.7%3.0 PA
2Curtis Mead (R)22.8%3.0 PA
3Jorbit Vivas (L)22.6%2.3 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)24.9%2.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)21.4%2.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)21.9%2.0 PA
7Luis García Jr. (L)24.2%2.0 PA
8José Tena (L)22.1%2.0 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (R)26.5%2.0 PA

WSH Cade Cavalli · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.7%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+128
DKDraftKings+125-166
FANFanatics+120-170

We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)25.4%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)21.6%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)24.9%3.0 PA
4Mark Vientos (R)20.3%3.0 PA
5Brett Baty (L)23.4%2.1 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)22.5%2.0 PA
7A.J. Ewing (L)24.0%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)19.7%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)20.4%2.0 PA