‹ Hits Allowed · Thursday, May 21, 2026
PIT @ STL Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
6–2
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 67°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-154—
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-154+116
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)23.0%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)21.5%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)26.0%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)24.1%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)20.0%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)20.8%2.9 PA
7José Fermín (R)21.7%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)20.6%2.0 PA
9Yohel Pozo (R)24.7%2.0 PA
Dustin May · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline+118—
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)21.8%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.6%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.0%3.0 PA
4Spencer Horwitz (L)25.6%3.0 PA
5Konnor Griffin (R)23.9%3.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)18.1%2.3 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)22.6%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)22.3%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)16.5%2.0 PA