ATL @ MIA Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

9–3

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Spencer Strider · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.2%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline+102—

BOVBovada+105-145

DKDraftKings+108-144

FANFanatics-110-130

We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Xavier Edwards (L)25.0%3.0 PA

2Liam Hicks (L)23.2%3.0 PA

3Otto Lopez (R)24.4%3.0 PA

4Kyle Stowers (L)19.8%2.2 PA

5Jakob Marsee (L)21.2%2.0 PA

6Christopher Morel (R)19.0%2.0 PA

7Heriberto Hernández (R)21.1%2.0 PA

8Pete Fairbanks (R)22.5%2.0 PA

9Javier Sanoja (R)22.5%2.0 PA

Sandy Alcantara · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.5 BF

Expected batters faced25.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOLBetOnline-145—

BOVBovada-135-105

DKDraftKings-131-102

We project 5.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Eli White (R)22.7%3.0 PA

2Michael Harris II (L)26.5%3.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)22.5%3.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (L)20.7%3.0 PA

5Dominic Smith (L)27.7%3.0 PA

6Austin Riley (R)21.5%3.0 PA

7Mauricio Dubón (R)22.8%3.0 PA

8Ha-Seong Kim (R)20.5%2.5 PA

9Chadwick Tromp (R)23.7%2.0 PA