MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Friday, May 22, 2026

PIT @ TOR Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
26
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

PIT Bubba Chandler · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-120
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-126-105
FANFanatics-130-110

We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)19.5%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)22.1%3.0 PA
3Daulton Varsho (L)25.4%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.6%2.7 PA
5Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%2.0 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)26.7%2.0 PA
7Myles Straw (R)23.2%2.0 PA
8Brandon Valenzuela (L)23.7%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)21.8%2.0 PA

TOR Kevin Gausman · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline+117
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+107-142

We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)21.6%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.3%3.0 PA
3Nick Gonzales (R)28.7%3.0 PA
4Bryan Reynolds (L)20.0%3.0 PA
5Konnor Griffin (R)23.9%3.0 PA
6Jared Triolo (R)22.3%2.6 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)22.6%2.0 PA
8Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Jake Mangum (L)22.7%2.0 PA
PIT @ TOR Hits Allowed Matchups — Friday, May 22, 2026 · MatchWiz