Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Friday, May 22, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Friday, May 22, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.4 BF
Expected batters faced9.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.7%1.4
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)23.8%1.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.3%1.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)23.3%1.0
5. Michael Harris II (L)22.6%1.0
6. Eli White (R)23.7%1.0
7. Dominic Smith (L)22.7%1.0
8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.6%1.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)23.7%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB24.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.0 BF
Expected batters faced9.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.5%1.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)20.3%1.0
3. Colt Keith (L)21.6%1.0
4. Riley Greene (L)24.5%1.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.9%1.0
6. Wenceel Pérez (R)22.4%1.0
7. Zach McKinstry (L)20.0%1.0
8. Gage Workman (L)22.1%1.0
9. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.0%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.9 BF
Expected batters faced10.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)25.3%2.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)22.9%1.9
3. Otto Lopez (R)23.9%1.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)20.8%1.0
5. Jakob Marsee (L)20.7%1.0
6. Esteury Ruiz (R)22.5%1.0
7. Graham Pauley (L)19.0%1.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%1.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)21.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-192—
FANFanatics-195+135
We project 2.3 H vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.5%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nico Hoerner (R)21.6%3.0
2. Michael Busch (L)21.6%3.0
3. Alex Bregman (R)22.6%3.0
4. Ian Happ (L)18.8%3.0
5. Seiya Suzuki (R)20.9%3.0
6. Moisés Ballesteros (L)20.9%3.0
7. Carson Kelly (R)22.6%2.6
8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)19.3%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)19.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-101—
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB17.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)21.3%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)23.6%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)27.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)24.3%2.4
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)21.4%2.0
6. Nick Sogard (R)22.6%2.0
7. Marcelo Mayer (L)22.5%2.0
8. Carlos Narváez (R)24.1%2.0
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-110—
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)19.5%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)22.1%3.0
3. Daulton Varsho (L)25.4%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.6%2.7
5. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%2.0
6. Ernie Clement (R)26.7%2.0
7. Myles Straw (R)23.2%2.0
8. Brandon Valenzuela (L)23.7%2.0
9. Andrés Giménez (L)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-120—
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-126-105
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.3%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)19.1%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)19.3%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)24.4%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)18.5%3.0
5. Jo Adell (R)21.9%2.4
6. Jose Siri (R)20.3%2.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)20.1%2.0
8. Sebastián Rivero (R)19.7%2.0
9. Donovan Walton (L)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline+112—
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-141
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)19.6%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.6%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)21.7%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)20.7%2.1
5. Samuel Basallo (L)24.9%2.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)23.4%2.0
7. Tyler O'Neill (R)20.4%2.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)21.6%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline+107—
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)23.0%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (R)21.6%3.0
3. Austin Martin (R)23.3%3.0
4. James Outman (L)20.5%3.0
5. Trevor Larnach (L)18.5%3.0
6. Ryan Kreidler (R)21.9%2.0
7. Kody Clemens (L)27.1%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)22.3%2.0
9. Alex Jackson (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+120—
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.4%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.9 BF
Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Colby Thomas (R)22.4%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.4%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)24.9%2.9
4. Brent Rooker (R)21.6%2.0
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.5%2.0
6. Zack Gelof (R)21.3%2.0
7. Henry Bolte (R)20.6%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)22.6%2.0
9. Lawrence Butler (L)18.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-154—
FANFanatics-170+120
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.0 BF
Expected batters faced20.0
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.6%3.0
2. Mookie Betts (R)21.0%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)23.4%2.0
4. Kyle Tucker (L)20.2%2.0
5. Andy Pages (R)22.6%2.0
6. Santiago Espinal (R)23.1%2.0
7. Teoscar Hernández (R)25.0%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)20.1%2.0
9. Miguel Rojas (R)23.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-238—
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-153+115
We project 4.5 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)24.9%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)21.2%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)24.2%3.0
4. Mark Vientos (R)20.2%3.0
5. Tyrone Taylor (R)20.5%2.9
6. Marcus Semien (R)21.4%2.0
7. Vidal Bruján (L)22.7%2.0
8. Nick Morabito (R)22.5%2.0
9. MJ Melendez (L)18.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-109—
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-116
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB16.7%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.7%3.0
2. Andrés Chaparro (R)22.1%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)19.9%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.4%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)22.2%3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)26.1%3.0
7. Paxton Schultz (L)22.5%2.6
8. Drew Millas (L)19.8%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)16.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline+104—
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-103-128
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chandler Simpson (L)25.2%3.0
2. Junior Caminero (R)24.0%3.0
3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.2%3.0
4. Carson Williams (R)20.7%3.0
5. Richie Palacios (L)23.5%3.0
6. Ryan Vilade (R)21.1%2.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)19.9%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)24.6%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (L)20.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+102—
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+113-150
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)17.1%3.0
2. Aaron Judge (R)22.0%3.0
3. Ben Rice (L)23.2%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)21.2%3.0
5. Paul Goldschmidt (R)21.1%3.0
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)21.6%2.7
7. José Caballero (R)23.3%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)18.2%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)18.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-154—
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-135+102
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Maikel Garcia (R)22.3%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)26.4%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.1%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)20.3%3.0
5. Carter Jensen (L)22.3%3.0
6. Jac Caglianone (L)23.4%2.3
7. Isaac Collins (L)19.9%2.0
8. Michael Massey (L)22.4%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)24.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOLBetOnline+112—
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.5%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)24.5%3.0
3. Randy Arozarena (R)23.0%3.0
4. Dominic Canzone (L)19.6%3.0
5. Patrick Wisdom (R)19.5%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)19.4%2.3
7. Mitch Garver (R)20.1%2.0
8. Luke Raley (L)20.4%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)19.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOLBetOnline+120—
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-165
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)23.6%3.0
2. Isaac Paredes (R)19.6%3.0
3. Yordan Alvarez (L)23.3%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)21.5%3.0
5. Jake Meyers (R)22.5%3.0
6. Nick Allen (R)22.6%2.5
7. Cam Smith (R)19.1%2.0
8. Zach Cole (L)21.8%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)20.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-156—
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)24.2%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)20.6%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)20.0%3.0
4. Christian Yelich (L)21.7%3.0
5. Andrew Vaughn (R)25.7%3.0
6. Blake Perkins (R)22.1%3.0
7. Luis Rengifo (R)17.8%2.7
8. Sal Frelick (L)19.9%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOLBetOnline-135—
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+105
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.3%3.0
2. Miguel Andujar (R)24.9%3.0
3. Gavin Sheets (L)21.9%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)23.0%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)23.5%3.0
6. Ramón Laureano (R)21.3%2.3
7. Sung-Mun Song (L)21.6%2.0
8. Bryce Johnson (R)19.5%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+113—
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-165
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)25.0%3.0
2. Hunter Goodman (R)22.0%3.0
3. Kyle Karros (R)19.1%3.0
4. Tyler Freeman (R)23.5%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)29.0%3.0
6. Willi Castro (L)19.5%2.5
7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.0%2.0
8. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
9. Chad Stevens (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+127—
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+112-149
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.2%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)26.7%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)21.5%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.4%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)21.1%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)20.6%3.0
6. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.2%3.0
7. Edgar Quero (L)20.6%2.2
8. Tristan Peters (L)23.1%2.0
9. Derek Hill (R)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+133—
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+125-167
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB23.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Andrew McCutchen (R)21.9%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)25.8%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.3%3.0
4. Ezequiel Duran (R)24.1%3.0
5. Jake Burger (R)24.6%2.5
6. Alejandro Osuna (L)20.0%2.0
7. Justin Foscue (R)20.6%2.0
8. Sam Haggerty (L)20.3%2.0
9. Danny Jansen (R)18.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOLBetOnline-135—
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+115
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)25.9%3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)25.6%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)23.6%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)24.9%3.0
5. Matt Chapman (R)20.1%3.0
6. Bryce Eldridge (L)19.2%2.9
7. Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.5%2.0
8. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%2.0
9. Harrison Bader (R)19.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline+124—
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.7%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)23.4%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)20.3%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)20.5%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)23.4%3.0
5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)24.6%2.4
6. Jose Fernandez (R)24.9%2.0
7. Gabriel Moreno (R)23.0%2.0
8. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.1%2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-152—
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-155+116
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Oneil Cruz (L)21.6%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.3%3.0
3. Nick Gonzales (R)28.7%3.0
4. Bryan Reynolds (L)20.0%3.0
5. Konnor Griffin (R)23.9%3.0
6. Jared Triolo (R)22.3%2.6
7. Endy Rodríguez (L)22.6%2.0
8. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0
9. Jake Mangum (L)22.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline+117—
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+107-142
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)22.0%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)21.3%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)23.3%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)23.3%3.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)27.2%3.0
6. Adolis García (R)18.1%3.0
7. Bryson Stott (L)22.2%2.9
8. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.2%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)23.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+126—
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+116-154
FANFanatics+145-210
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload26.5 BF
Expected batters faced26.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Angel Martínez (R)23.6%3.0
2. José Ramírez (R)26.6%3.0
3. Kyle Manzardo (L)24.3%3.0
4. Chase DeLauter (L)23.7%3.0
5. Travis Bazzana (L)23.2%3.0
6. Brayan Rocchio (R)22.0%3.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)19.7%3.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)21.8%3.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)20.9%2.5
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOLBetOnline-156—
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-164+123
We project 5.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
28 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Nick MartinezP
TB@NYY· proj #15
9HFinal
2
Jack FlahertyP
DET@BAL· proj #8
8HFinal
T2
Jameson TaillonP
CHCvsHOU· proj #18
8HFinal
T2
Justin WrobleskiP
LAD@MIL· proj #19
8HFinal
5
Connor PrielippP
MIN@BOS· proj #5
7HFinal
T5
Grayson RodriguezP
LAAvsTEX· proj #23
7HFinal
7
Jacob deGromP
TEX@LAA· proj #7
6HFinal
T7
Davis MartinP
CWS@SF· proj #24
6HFinal
T7
Tomoyuki SuganoP
COL@AZ· proj #25
6HFinal
T7
Kevin GausmanP
TORvsPIT· proj #26
6HFinal
11
Walker BuehlerP
SDvsATH· proj #10
5HFinal
T11
Bryce ElderP
ATLvsWSH· proj #13
5HFinal
T11
Gavin WilliamsP
CLE@PHI· proj #27
5HFinal
14
Payton TolleP
BOSvsMIN· proj #9
4HFinal
T14
Noah CameronP
KCvsSEA· proj #17
4HFinal
T14
Michael SorokaP
AZvsCOL· proj #21
4HFinal
T14
Cristopher SánchezP
PHIvsCLE· proj #28
4HFinal
18
Jeffrey SpringsP
ATH@SD· proj #20
3HFinal
T18
Trevor McDonaldP
SFvsCWS· proj #22
3HFinal
20
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOU@CHC· proj #4
2HFinal
T20
Bubba ChandlerP
PIT@TOR· proj #6
2HFinal
T20
Logan HendersonP
MILvsLAD· proj #11
2HFinal
T20
Eury PérezP
MIAvsNYM· proj #12
2HFinal
T20
Gerrit ColeP
NYYvsTB· proj #14
2HFinal
T20
Logan GilbertP
SEA@KC· proj #16
2HFinal
26
Richard LoveladyP
WSH@ATL· proj #1
1HFinal
T26
Keegan AkinP
BALvsDET· proj #2
1HFinal
T26
Tobias MyersP
NYM@MIA· proj #3
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/333%
season 43%-10 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
3/838%
season 46%-8 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
9/1850%
season building
Top 50
13/2650%
season building
Full slate
13/2650%
season 48%+2 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Friday, May 22, 2026
Richard Lovelady (WSH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Friday, May 22, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.0 H, with Keegan Akin (BAL) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady (WSH) tops the Friday, May 22, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.0 H vs ATL. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Keegan Akin (BAL) (96) — about 2.1 H vs DET.
Tobias Myers (NYM) (92) — about 2.3 H vs MIA.
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) (41) — about 4.2 H vs CHC.
Connor Prielipp (MIN) (38) — about 4.3 H vs BOS.
Bubba Chandler (PIT) (38) — about 4.4 H vs TOR.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.7 H. Richard Lovelady finished with 1. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Friday, May 22, 2026)?
Richard Lovelady (WSH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.0 H against ATL.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Friday, May 22, 2026: Richard Lovelady (~2.0 H), Keegan Akin (~2.1 H), Tobias Myers (~2.3 H), Spencer Arrighetti (~4.2 H), Connor Prielipp (~4.3 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
