‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, May 22, 2026
HOU @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
4–2
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 60°F SunnyWind 12 mph, In From CF
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.5%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-101—
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nico Hoerner (R)21.6%3.0 PA
2Michael Busch (L)21.6%3.0 PA
3Alex Bregman (R)22.6%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)18.8%3.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)20.9%3.0 PA
6Moisés Ballesteros (L)20.9%3.0 PA
7Carson Kelly (R)22.6%2.6 PA
8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)19.3%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)19.7%2.0 PA
Jameson Taillon · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-156—
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)23.6%3.0 PA
2Isaac Paredes (R)19.6%3.0 PA
3Yordan Alvarez (L)23.3%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)21.5%3.0 PA
5Jake Meyers (R)22.5%3.0 PA
6Nick Allen (R)22.6%2.5 PA
7Cam Smith (R)19.1%2.0 PA
8Zach Cole (L)21.8%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)20.6%2.0 PA