‹ Hits Allowed · Friday, May 22, 2026
MIN @ BOS Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
8–6
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 64°F CloudyWind 3 mph, R To L
Connor Prielipp · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB17.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-110—
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)21.3%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)23.6%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)27.5%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)24.3%2.4 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)21.4%2.0 PA
6Nick Sogard (R)22.6%2.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)22.5%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)24.1%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.7%2.0 PA
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+120—
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)23.0%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (R)21.6%3.0 PA
3Austin Martin (R)23.3%3.0 PA
4James Outman (L)20.5%3.0 PA
5Trevor Larnach (L)18.5%3.0 PA
6Ryan Kreidler (R)21.9%2.0 PA
7Kody Clemens (L)27.1%2.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)22.3%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)20.8%2.0 PA