WSH @ ATL Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026

WSH

Washington Nationals

4–5

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 73°F CloudyWind 7 mph, In From CF

Richard Lovelady · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB19.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.4 BF

Expected batters faced9.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.7%1.4 PA

2Mauricio Dubón (R)23.8%1.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)23.3%1.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (R)23.3%1.0 PA

5Michael Harris II (L)22.6%1.0 PA

6Eli White (R)23.7%1.0 PA

7Dominic Smith (L)22.7%1.0 PA

8Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.6%1.0 PA

9Chadwick Tromp (R)23.7%1.0 PA

Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB16.7%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOLBetOnline+104—

BOVBovada-105-135

DKDraftKings-103-128

We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1James Wood (L)23.7%3.0 PA

2Andrés Chaparro (R)22.1%3.0 PA

3Curtis Mead (R)19.9%3.0 PA

4CJ Abrams (L)23.4%3.0 PA

5Dylan Crews (R)22.2%3.0 PA

6Daylen Lile (L)26.1%3.0 PA

7Paxton Schultz (L)22.5%2.6 PA

8Drew Millas (L)19.8%2.0 PA

9Nasim Nuñez (L)16.7%2.0 PA