‹ Hits Allowed · Saturday, May 23, 2026
PIT @ TOR Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
2–5
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)19.6%3.0 PA
2Daulton Varsho (L)24.6%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)22.1%3.0 PA
4Davis Schneider (R)19.8%3.0 PA
5Myles Straw (R)23.2%2.5 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)26.7%2.0 PA
7Andrés Giménez (L)21.2%2.0 PA
8Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.1%2.0 PA
9Tyler Heineman (L)17.0%2.0 PA
Patrick Corbin · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-158+119
We project 5.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)22.1%3.0 PA
2Konnor Griffin (R)25.1%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)23.4%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)21.1%2.5 PA
5Spencer Horwitz (L)19.5%2.0 PA
6Jhostynxon Garcia (R)22.9%2.0 PA
7Brandon Lowe (L)20.8%2.0 PA
8Oneil Cruz (L)24.0%2.0 PA
9Endy Rodríguez (R)22.2%2.0 PA