Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Saturday, May 23, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, May 23, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.9 BF
Expected batters faced9.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)23.3%1.9
2. James Outman (L)20.2%1.0
3. Austin Martin (R)23.3%1.0
4. Josh Bell (R)24.1%1.0
5. Kody Clemens (L)26.2%1.0
6. Victor Caratini (R)19.2%1.0
7. Orlando Arcia (R)23.0%1.0
8. Brooks Lee (R)21.0%1.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)22.3%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.5 BF
Expected batters faced9.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)18.6%1.4
2. Luis Arraez (L)26.9%1.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)26.1%1.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)20.8%1.0
5. Matt Chapman (R)22.4%1.0
6. Daniel Susac (R)25.5%1.0
7. Bryce Eldridge (L)21.4%1.0
8. Harrison Bader (R)23.5%1.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)16.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload13.5 BF
Expected batters faced13.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)18.8%2.0
2. Alex Bregman (R)23.0%2.0
3. Michael Busch (L)21.0%2.0
4. Nico Hoerner (R)21.1%2.0
5. Kevin Alcántara (R)23.0%1.6
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)20.4%1.0
7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)21.2%1.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)22.0%1.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)19.6%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.5 BF
Expected batters faced19.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Danny Jansen (R)17.9%3.0
2. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.4%2.5
3. Michael Helman (R)22.0%2.0
4. Andrew McCutchen (R)22.1%2.0
5. Jake Burger (R)24.9%2.0
6. Evan Carter (L)18.4%2.0
7. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.3%2.0
8. Justin Foscue (R)22.1%2.0
9. Kyle Higashioka (R)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-128-104
We project 4.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.6%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)24.0%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)20.3%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)20.6%3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)21.1%3.0
5. Rhys Hoskins (R)18.7%3.0
6. Daniel Schneemann (L)20.2%2.6
7. Angel Martínez (L)21.4%2.0
8. Steven Kwan (L)19.0%2.0
9. Patrick Bailey (L)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.7%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)19.6%3.0
2. Daulton Varsho (L)24.6%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)22.1%3.0
4. Davis Schneider (R)19.8%3.0
5. Myles Straw (R)23.2%2.5
6. Ernie Clement (R)26.7%2.0
7. Andrés Giménez (L)21.2%2.0
8. Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.1%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (L)17.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.5%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)24.0%3.0
3. José Tena (L)21.5%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.6%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)22.3%2.5
6. Jacob Young (R)21.9%2.0
7. Nasim Nuñez (L)17.1%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)20.0%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (L)21.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-140
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carlos Cortes (L)25.2%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)24.0%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)24.1%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)21.1%3.0
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.9%2.3
6. Zack Gelof (R)21.4%2.0
7. Henry Bolte (R)22.1%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)23.2%2.0
9. Darell Hernaiz (R)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-151+114
FANFanatics-170+120
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB19.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.4%3.0
2. Miguel Andujar (R)26.2%3.0
3. Gavin Sheets (L)23.5%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)17.3%3.0
5. Bryce Johnson (L)23.9%2.2
6. Jackson Merrill (L)19.8%2.0
7. Ty France (R)25.4%2.0
8. Freddy Fermin (R)17.2%2.0
9. Sung-Mun Song (L)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-159
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.8%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)23.4%3.0
2. Isaac Paredes (R)19.6%3.0
3. Zach Dezenzo (R)23.2%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)21.5%3.0
5. Jake Meyers (R)22.6%2.6
6. Cam Smith (R)19.4%2.0
7. Nick Allen (R)22.6%2.0
8. Brice Matthews (R)20.2%2.0
9. César Salazar (L)19.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+109
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.3%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.2%3.0
2. Mookie Betts (R)21.3%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)21.0%3.0
4. Andy Pages (R)23.1%3.0
5. Will Smith (R)18.8%2.3
6. Kyle Tucker (L)23.8%2.0
7. Teoscar Hernández (R)22.0%2.0
8. Miguel Rojas (R)24.5%2.0
9. Santiago Espinal (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-155+117
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)24.1%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)20.8%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)25.4%3.0
4. Tyrone Taylor (R)20.7%3.0
5. Mark Vientos (R)20.0%2.7
6. A.J. Ewing (L)23.1%2.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)21.2%2.0
8. MJ Melendez (L)18.4%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)20.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-142+107
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB19.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)25.0%3.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)22.6%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)23.8%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)20.6%3.0
5. Jakob Marsee (L)20.6%3.0
6. Connor Norby (R)22.1%2.6
7. Owen Caissie (L)21.3%2.0
8. Graham Pauley (L)20.4%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)19.8%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)20.0%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)20.6%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)18.6%3.0
5. Jo Adell (R)21.2%3.0
6. Jose Siri (R)20.3%3.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)21.4%2.9
8. Sebastián Rivero (R)19.7%2.0
9. Donovan Walton (L)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-166+125
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.4%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.2%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)23.9%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)25.6%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)23.2%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)21.0%2.0
7. Dominic Canzone (L)22.2%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)20.3%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 4.9 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.3%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)23.3%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)24.4%3.0
3. Andrew Vaughn (R)21.5%3.0
4. Christian Yelich (L)23.6%3.0
5. Gary Sánchez (R)17.6%2.7
6. Jake Bauers (L)23.3%2.0
7. Blake Perkins (L)16.6%2.0
8. Joey Ortiz (R)20.8%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)22.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)26.1%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)21.1%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.0%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)21.3%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)20.1%3.0
6. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.3%2.5
7. Randal Grichuk (R)20.1%2.0
8. Derek Hill (R)20.8%2.0
9. Drew Romo (L)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+106-141
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)23.2%3.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)26.6%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)23.3%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)24.6%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.9%2.7
6. Matt McLain (R)20.2%2.0
7. Spencer Steer (R)22.9%2.0
8. P.J. Higgins (R)24.0%2.0
9. Dane Myers (R)24.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-105-127
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)20.6%3.0
2. Mickey Gasper (L)23.9%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.8%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)22.1%3.0
5. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.6%3.0
6. Nick Sogard (L)22.9%3.0
7. Caleb Durbin (R)17.9%2.4
8. Connor Wong (R)23.2%2.0
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)25.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings+129-172
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.9%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)22.4%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)26.4%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)24.0%2.6
5. Nolan Gorman (L)19.7%2.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)20.4%2.0
7. Bryan Torres (L)22.5%2.0
8. César Prieto (L)18.8%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)16.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB24.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.9%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)22.4%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)26.4%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)24.0%3.0
5. Thomas Saggese (R)20.5%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)20.4%2.0
7. Bryan Torres (L)22.5%2.0
8. Yohel Pozo (R)24.7%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)16.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-161+121
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)23.8%3.0
2. Hunter Goodman (R)22.6%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)24.3%3.0
4. Tyler Freeman (R)22.7%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)28.2%2.3
6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.9%2.0
7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
8. Chad Stevens (R)22.5%2.0
9. Kyle Karros (R)18.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-137+103
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)23.5%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)26.8%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)21.6%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)20.7%2.7
5. Dominic Smith (L)27.1%2.0
6. Austin Riley (R)22.9%2.0
7. Mauricio Dubón (R)23.4%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.0%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)25.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-113-117
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Gonzales (R)22.1%3.0
2. Konnor Griffin (R)25.1%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)23.4%3.0
4. Marcell Ozuna (R)21.1%2.5
5. Spencer Horwitz (L)19.5%2.0
6. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)22.9%2.0
7. Brandon Lowe (L)20.8%2.0
8. Oneil Cruz (L)24.0%2.0
9. Endy Rodríguez (R)22.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-158+119
We project 5.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Bleday (L)23.3%3.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)26.6%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)24.6%3.0
4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)24.2%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.9%3.0
6. Spencer Steer (R)22.9%2.7
7. Blake Dunn (R)23.2%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)19.0%2.0
9. TJ Friedl (L)18.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.7%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)20.2%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)23.5%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)22.7%3.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)27.4%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)22.7%2.2
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.5%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)18.3%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-111-120
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB24.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Maikel Garcia (R)22.6%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)24.7%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.1%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)20.2%3.0
5. Carter Jensen (L)21.6%3.0
6. Jac Caglianone (L)23.1%3.0
7. Isaac Collins (L)19.3%2.9
8. Michael Massey (L)22.4%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-142+107
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.8%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)23.9%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)20.5%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)20.4%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)23.5%2.4
5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)23.8%2.0
6. Gabriel Moreno (R)22.4%2.0
7. Jose Fernandez (R)25.0%2.0
8. Tim Tawa (R)20.0%2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-129-102
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
25 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Paul SkenesP
PIT@TOR· proj #6
9HFinal
T1
George KirbyP
SEA@KC· proj #27
9HFinal
3
Freddy PeraltaP
NYM@MIA· proj #13
8HFinal
T3
Michael LorenzenP
COL@AZ· proj #28
8HFinal
5
Adrian HouserP
SFvsCWS· proj #17
7HFinal
T5
Kyle LeahyP
STL@CIN· proj #18
7HFinal
T5
Chris PaddackP
CINvsSTL· proj #20
7HFinal
8
Grant HolmesP
ATLvsWSH· proj #7
6HFinal
T8
Chase PettyP
CINvsSTL· proj #21
6HFinal
T8
Zac GallenP
AZvsCOL· proj #22
6HFinal
T8
Slade CecconiP
CLE@PHI· proj #26
6HFinal
12
Walbert UreñaP
LAAvsTEX· proj #4
5HFinal
T12
Nathan EovaldiP
TEX@LAA· proj #14
5HFinal
T12
Patrick CorbinP
TORvsPIT· proj #24
5HFinal
15
Lucas GiolitoP
SDvsATH· proj #8
4HFinal
T15
Colin ReaP
CHCvsHOU· proj #10
4HFinal
T15
Robert GasserP
MILvsLAD· proj #11
4HFinal
T15
Stephen KolekP
KCvsSEA· proj #15
4HFinal
T15
Roki SasakiP
LAD@MIL· proj #16
4HFinal
20
Jovani MoránP
BOSvsMIN· proj #1
3HFinal
T20
Taj BradleyP
MIN@BOS· proj #19
3HFinal
22
Kai-Wei TengP
HOU@CHC· proj #3
2HFinal
T22
Zack WheelerP
PHIvsCLE· proj #5
2HFinal
T22
Andre PallanteP
STL@CIN· proj #25
2HFinal
25
Max MeyerP
MIAvsNYM· proj #12
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/250%
season 43%+7 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
3/743%
season 46%-3 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
6/1638%
season building
Top 50
12/2352%
season building
Full slate
12/2352%
season 48%+4 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Saturday, May 23, 2026
Jovani Morán (BOS) is the top hits allowed spot on the Saturday, May 23, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H, with Bryan Hudson (CWS) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Jovani Morán
Jovani Morán (BOS) tops the Saturday, May 23, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H vs MIN. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Bryan Hudson (CWS) (99) — about 2.0 H vs SF.
Kai-Wei Teng (HOU) (84) — about 2.6 H vs CHC.
Walbert Ureña (LAA) (45) — about 4.0 H vs TEX.
Zack Wheeler (PHI) (43) — about 4.1 H vs CLE.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (42) — about 4.1 H vs TOR.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.5 H. Jovani Morán finished with 3. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Saturday, May 23, 2026)?
Jovani Morán (BOS) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H against MIN.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Saturday, May 23, 2026: Jovani Morán (~1.9 H), Bryan Hudson (~2.0 H), Kai-Wei Teng (~2.6 H), Walbert Ureña (~4.0 H), Zack Wheeler (~4.1 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
