HOU @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

3–0

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 60°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, In From CF

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.5 BF

Expected batters faced13.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)18.8%2.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)23.0%2.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)21.0%2.0 PA

4Nico Hoerner (R)21.1%2.0 PA

5Kevin Alcántara (R)23.0%1.6 PA

6Seiya Suzuki (R)20.4%1.0 PA

7Moisés Ballesteros (L)21.2%1.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)22.0%1.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)19.6%1.0 PA

Colin Rea · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB27.8%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BOVBovada-150+110

DKDraftKings-145+109

We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)23.4%3.0 PA

2Isaac Paredes (R)19.6%3.0 PA

3Zach Dezenzo (R)23.2%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)21.5%3.0 PA

5Jake Meyers (R)22.6%2.6 PA

6Cam Smith (R)19.4%2.0 PA

7Nick Allen (R)22.6%2.0 PA

8Brice Matthews (R)20.2%2.0 PA

9César Salazar (L)19.4%2.0 PA