MIN @ BOS Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

MIN

Minnesota Twins

4–2

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 61°F CloudyWind 8 mph, In From RF

Taj Bradley · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

DKDraftKings+129-172

We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)20.6%3.0 PA

2Mickey Gasper (L)23.9%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.8%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)22.1%3.0 PA

5Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.6%3.0 PA

6Nick Sogard (L)22.9%3.0 PA

7Caleb Durbin (R)17.9%2.4 PA

8Connor Wong (R)23.2%2.0 PA

9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)25.0%2.0 PA

Jovani Morán · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.7%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.9 BF

Expected batters faced9.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Byron Buxton (R)23.3%1.9 PA

2James Outman (L)20.2%1.0 PA

3Austin Martin (R)23.3%1.0 PA

4Josh Bell (R)24.1%1.0 PA

5Kody Clemens (L)26.2%1.0 PA

6Victor Caratini (R)19.2%1.0 PA

7Orlando Arcia (R)23.0%1.0 PA

8Brooks Lee (R)21.0%1.0 PA

9Ryan Kreidler (R)22.3%1.0 PA