‹ Hits Allowed · Sunday, May 24, 2026
PIT @ TOR Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
4–1
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB19.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+109
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)20.5%3.0 PA
2Daulton Varsho (L)24.1%3.0 PA
3Lenyn Sosa (R)19.8%3.0 PA
4Myles Straw (R)23.2%3.0 PA
5Davis Schneider (R)19.8%3.0 PA
6Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.2%2.1 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)27.0%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)21.5%2.0 PA
9Brandon Valenzuela (L)22.7%2.0 PA
Dylan Cease · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120—
DKDraftKings-119-112
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)25.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.6%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)20.0%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)28.6%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)21.4%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)23.8%3.0 PA
7Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.2%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)21.9%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)22.9%2.0 PA