Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Sunday, May 24, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, May 24, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.3 BF
Expected batters faced10.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.3%2.0
2. Miguel Andujar (R)26.0%1.3
3. Gavin Sheets (L)24.0%1.0
4. Manny Machado (R)17.3%1.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)21.7%1.0
6. Jackson Merrill (L)19.4%1.0
7. Ramón Laureano (R)21.0%1.0
8. Ty France (R)24.7%1.0
9. Nick Castellanos (R)21.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 2.2 H vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload12.2 BF
Expected batters faced12.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)23.4%2.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)20.5%2.0
3. A.J. Ewing (L)22.3%2.0
4. Mark Vientos (R)19.8%1.2
5. Brett Baty (L)23.5%1.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)20.8%1.0
7. Nick Morabito (R)22.5%1.0
8. Tyrone Taylor (R)20.7%1.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)20.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.0 BF
Expected batters faced18.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)21.3%2.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)21.5%2.0
3. Luis García Jr. (L)23.8%2.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)25.0%2.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)19.8%2.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)22.1%2.0
7. Jacob Young (R)20.7%2.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (R)20.4%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (R)28.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-105
We project 3.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB19.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)18.3%3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)26.2%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)26.0%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)20.7%2.7
5. Matt Chapman (R)22.4%2.0
6. Daniel Susac (R)25.5%2.0
7. Drew Gilbert (L)16.9%2.0
8. Harrison Bader (R)23.5%2.0
9. Will Brennan (L)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+110
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)22.6%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)19.4%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)21.0%3.0
4. Donovan Walton (L)21.7%2.4
5. Jo Adell (R)23.7%2.0
6. Oswald Peraza (R)25.0%2.0
7. Wade Meckler (L)22.1%2.0
8. Sebastián Rivero (R)20.1%2.0
9. Adam Frazier (L)20.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-105-127
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.9 BF
Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Liam Hicks (L)23.4%3.0
2. Xavier Edwards (L)25.1%2.9
3. Heriberto Hernández (R)21.1%2.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)20.1%2.0
5. Otto Lopez (R)23.6%2.0
6. Jakob Marsee (L)20.2%2.0
7. Graham Pauley (L)20.6%2.0
8. Esteury Ruiz (R)23.5%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-146+110
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lawrence Butler (L)18.2%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)24.3%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)24.1%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.8%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (L)20.0%3.0
6. Zack Gelof (R)20.8%2.1
7. Jeff McNeil (L)23.1%2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R)21.0%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-152
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.0%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)24.6%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)22.1%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)21.1%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)23.9%3.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)24.5%2.0
7. Tyler O'Neill (R)20.2%2.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)22.4%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-159+119
We project 4.4 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.5 BF
Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.9%3.0
2. Mookie Betts (R)20.3%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)23.0%2.5
4. Kyle Tucker (L)19.7%2.0
5. Andy Pages (R)22.1%2.0
6. Teoscar Hernández (R)25.9%2.0
7. Dalton Rushing (L)19.5%2.0
8. Hyeseong Kim (L)22.7%2.0
9. Miguel Rojas (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-110-121
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB18.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Max Schuemann (R)21.2%3.0
2. Aaron Judge (R)21.5%3.0
3. Ben Rice (L)23.6%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)21.1%3.0
5. Paul Goldschmidt (R)20.5%2.1
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)22.2%2.0
7. José Caballero (R)23.4%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)17.4%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)19.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-153
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Austin Martin (R)23.2%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)22.7%3.0
3. Trevor Larnach (L)23.1%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)20.3%2.1
5. Kody Clemens (L)20.2%2.0
6. Victor Caratini (L)20.4%2.0
7. Orlando Arcia (R)23.4%2.0
8. James Outman (L)21.0%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)22.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-110
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB15.8%
vs RHB25.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)18.9%3.0
2. Nico Hoerner (R)21.1%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)20.8%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)22.7%3.0
5. Michael Conforto (L)21.3%3.0
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)19.9%2.7
7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)20.7%2.0
8. Miguel Amaya (R)20.8%2.0
9. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+118-157
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB19.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)20.5%3.0
2. Daulton Varsho (L)24.1%3.0
3. Lenyn Sosa (R)19.8%3.0
4. Myles Straw (R)23.2%3.0
5. Davis Schneider (R)19.8%3.0
6. Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.2%2.1
7. Ernie Clement (R)27.0%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)21.5%2.0
9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)22.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+109
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)24.0%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)22.4%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)21.1%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)24.6%3.0
5. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.7%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)22.2%2.2
7. Adolis García (R)20.4%2.0
8. Justin Crawford (L)19.0%2.0
9. Brandon Marsh (L)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.0%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Maikel Garcia (R)22.6%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)25.3%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.5%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)19.9%3.0
5. Carter Jensen (L)21.9%3.0
6. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.9%2.3
7. Isaac Collins (L)19.2%2.0
8. Michael Massey (L)23.1%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)23.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)22.6%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)22.5%3.0
3. Chad Stevens (R)21.0%3.0
4. Troy Johnston (L)28.6%3.0
5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.4%2.9
6. Braxton Fulford (R)20.8%2.0
7. Edouard Julien (L)18.9%2.0
8. Kyle Karros (R)18.3%2.0
9. Brett Sullivan (L)17.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)24.0%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)19.5%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)20.8%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.2%3.0
5. Daniel Schneemann (L)19.8%2.0
6. Petey Halpin (L)20.4%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)18.6%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)18.2%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)25.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-110-121
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.2%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.6%3.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R)22.9%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)26.9%3.0
5. Matt Vierling (R)18.7%2.6
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)18.9%2.0
7. Wenceel Pérez (L)18.1%2.0
8. Jake Rogers (R)18.1%2.0
9. Zack Short (R)18.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)20.3%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.9%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)23.4%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.2%3.0
6. Nick Sogard (L)22.0%3.0
7. Connor Wong (R)22.5%2.2
8. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.7%2.0
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)24.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)24.1%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)24.5%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)27.3%3.0
4. Luis Rengifo (L)23.4%3.0
5. Andrew Vaughn (R)20.7%3.0
6. Blake Perkins (L)16.6%3.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)23.1%2.5
8. Joey Ortiz (R)19.7%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-112
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.1%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Brice Matthews (R)22.0%3.0
2. Jeremy Peña (R)22.7%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)19.9%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)23.9%3.0
5. Jake Meyers (R)21.2%3.0
6. Cam Smith (R)20.8%2.9
7. Braden Shewmake (L)20.8%2.0
8. Christian Vázquez (R)22.1%2.0
9. Nick Allen (R)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-121-110
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)25.1%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.6%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)20.0%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)28.6%3.0
5. Oneil Cruz (L)21.4%3.0
6. Endy Rodríguez (L)23.8%3.0
7. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.2%2.0
8. Jake Mangum (L)21.9%2.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120—
DKDraftKings-119-112
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)21.6%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.9%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (R)22.3%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)22.5%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)22.3%3.0
6. Jackson Holliday (L)17.9%3.0
7. Leody Taveras (R)18.1%2.2
8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.0%2.0
9. Colton Cowser (L)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB26.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Matt Vierling (R)21.5%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)23.7%3.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R)20.4%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)23.6%3.0
5. Colt Keith (L)21.6%2.3
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)20.2%2.0
7. Wenceel Pérez (R)21.6%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)20.0%2.0
9. Zack Short (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-161+121
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Oliver Dunn (L)20.8%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)23.0%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)24.0%3.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R)25.8%3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L)23.5%3.0
6. Nick Fortes (R)21.5%2.1
7. Taylor Walls (R)19.7%2.0
8. Cedric Mullins (L)23.1%2.0
9. Richie Palacios (L)23.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-136+103
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)26.4%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)21.1%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)24.5%3.0
4. Sam Antonacci (L)18.3%3.0
5. Colson Montgomery (L)20.1%3.0
6. Edgar Quero (R)19.7%2.2
7. Jarred Kelenic (L)22.2%2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)20.1%2.0
9. Luisangel Acuña (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-113-118
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (R)23.5%3.0
2. Tim Tawa (R)20.9%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (R)20.0%3.0
4. Jorge Barrosa (R)21.0%2.8
5. Ildemaro Vargas (R)27.6%2.0
6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)25.7%2.0
7. Jose Fernandez (R)22.5%2.0
8. Aramis Garcia (R)21.2%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-124-107
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Alejandro Osuna (L)23.0%3.0
2. Justin Foscue (R)26.4%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)23.4%3.0
4. Jake Burger (R)21.9%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)24.4%3.0
6. Danny Jansen (R)20.3%2.8
7. Sam Haggerty (R)21.9%2.0
8. Joc Pederson (L)20.1%2.0
9. Michael Helman (R)23.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-139+105
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.3%3.0
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)24.4%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.0%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)22.8%3.0
5. Austin Riley (R)21.3%3.0
6. Michael Harris II (L)23.1%2.9
7. Eli White (R)23.7%2.0
8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)19.8%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-144+108
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.2%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)21.3%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)22.8%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)24.5%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)24.4%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)21.5%3.0
7. Dominic Canzone (L)21.9%2.5
8. Mitch Garver (R)17.9%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+106
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
30 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Bailey OberP
MIN@BOS· proj #19
7HFinal
T1
Yoshinobu YamamotoP
LAD@MIL· proj #20
7HFinal
T1
Shota ImanagaP
CHCvsHOU· proj #21
7HFinal
4
Noah SchultzP
CWS@SF· proj #4
6HFinal
T4
Sonny GrayP
BOSvsMIN· proj #11
6HFinal
T4
Bryan WooP
SEA@KC· proj #15
6HFinal
T4
Ryne NelsonP
AZvsCOL· proj #16
6HFinal
T4
Andrew PainterP
PHIvsCLE· proj #17
6HFinal
T4
Jose QuintanaP
COL@AZ· proj #27
6HFinal
T4
Seth LugoP
KCvsSEA· proj #30
6HFinal
11
Martín PérezP
ATLvsWSH· proj #3
5HFinal
T11
Michael KingP
SDvsATH· proj #7
5HFinal
T11
Drew RasmussenP
TB@NYY· proj #10
5HFinal
T11
Peter LambertP
HOU@CHC· proj #12
5HFinal
T11
Parker MessickP
CLE@PHI· proj #14
5HFinal
T11
Brandon YoungP
BALvsDET· proj #18
5HFinal
17
Christian ScottP
NYM@MIA· proj #6
4HFinal
T17
Brandon SproatP
MILvsLAD· proj #9
4HFinal
T17
Mitch KellerP
PIT@TOR· proj #13
4HFinal
T17
Dylan CeaseP
TORvsPIT· proj #22
4HFinal
T17
Trevor RogersP
BALvsDET· proj #24
4HFinal
T17
Ryan WeathersP
NYYvsTB· proj #25
4HFinal
23
Foster GriffinP
WSH@ATL· proj #29
3HFinal
24
Luis MedinaP
ATH@SD· proj #1
2HFinal
T24
Tyler PhillipsP
MIAvsNYM· proj #2
2HFinal
T24
Troy MeltonP
DET@BAL· proj #8
2HFinal
T24
Framber ValdezP
DET@BAL· proj #23
2HFinal
T24
Robbie RayP
SFvsCWS· proj #26
2HFinal
29
MacKenzie GoreP
TEX@LAA· proj #5
1HFinal
T29
Reid DetmersP
LAAvsTEX· proj #28
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/450%
season 43%+7 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
4/944%
season 46%-2 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
8/1747%
season building
Top 50
11/2642%
season building
Full slate
11/2642%
season 48%-6 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Sunday, May 24, 2026
Luis Medina (ATH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Sunday, May 24, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H, with Tyler Phillips (MIA) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Luis Medina
Luis Medina (ATH) tops the Sunday, May 24, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H vs SD. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Tyler Phillips (MIA) (94) — about 2.4 H vs NYM.
Martín Pérez (ATL) (57) — about 3.7 H vs WSH.
Noah Schultz (CWS) (41) — about 4.2 H vs SF.
MacKenzie Gore (TEX) (40) — about 4.3 H vs LAA.
Christian Scott (NYM) (39) — about 4.3 H vs MIA.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.6 H. Luis Medina finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Sunday, May 24, 2026)?
Luis Medina (ATH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.2 H against SD.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Sunday, May 24, 2026: Luis Medina (~2.2 H), Tyler Phillips (~2.4 H), Martín Pérez (~3.7 H), Noah Schultz (~4.2 H), MacKenzie Gore (~4.3 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
