MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Sunday, May 24, 2026

MIN @ BOS Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
65
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 57°F OvercastWind 7 mph, In From RF

MIN Bailey Ober · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155

We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)20.3%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)24.9%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.5%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)23.4%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)22.2%3.0 PA
6Nick Sogard (L)22.0%3.0 PA
7Connor Wong (R)22.5%2.2 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)19.7%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)24.1%2.0 PA

BOS Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-110
FANFanatics-150+105

We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)23.2%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)22.7%3.0 PA
3Trevor Larnach (L)23.1%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)20.3%2.1 PA
5Kody Clemens (L)20.2%2.0 PA
6Victor Caratini (L)20.4%2.0 PA
7Orlando Arcia (R)23.4%2.0 PA
8James Outman (L)21.0%2.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)22.2%2.0 PA