MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Monday, May 25, 2026

AZ @ SF Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
62
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 60°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To LF

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-147+110
FANFanatics-110-130

We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Willy Adames (R)25.6%3.0 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)26.6%3.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)23.3%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)24.5%3.0 PA
5Matt Chapman (R)21.6%3.0 PA
6Daniel Susac (R)24.3%3.0 PA
7Bryce Eldridge (L)19.8%3.0 PA
8Harrison Bader (R)20.1%2.0 PA
9Drew Gilbert (L)23.3%2.0 PA

SF Landen Roupp · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB18.4%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+106

We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)25.4%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)21.8%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.1%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)23.8%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)22.7%2.6 PA
6Ryan Waldschmidt (R)25.3%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Moreno (R)23.1%2.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)23.4%2.0 PA
9Jorge Barrosa (L)18.7%2.0 PA
AZ @ SF Hits Allowed Matchups — Monday, May 25, 2026 · MatchWiz