Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Monday, May 25, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Monday, May 25, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.3 BF
Expected batters faced9.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)22.5%1.3
2. David Fry (R)20.5%1.0
3. Petey Halpin (L)20.0%1.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)17.2%1.0
5. Kyle Manzardo (L)24.3%1.0
6. Angel Martínez (R)23.2%1.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)19.3%1.0
8. Patrick Bailey (R)19.4%1.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (R)22.4%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.2 BF
Expected batters faced14.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)25.0%2.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.7%2.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)20.4%2.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)27.0%2.0
5. Oneil Cruz (L)21.6%2.0
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)18.9%1.2
7. Konnor Griffin (R)23.7%1.0
8. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)22.8%1.0
9. Henry Davis (R)16.3%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 2.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.8%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)21.0%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.2%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (R)21.6%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)21.8%2.1
5. Jeremiah Jackson (R)21.4%2.0
6. Leody Taveras (R)18.8%2.0
7. Blaze Alexander (R)21.3%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)17.9%2.0
9. Colton Cowser (L)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 3.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.0 BF
Expected batters faced19.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)21.2%3.0
2. Alejandro Osuna (L)23.4%2.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)23.0%2.0
4. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.6%2.0
5. Jake Burger (R)24.3%2.0
6. Justin Foscue (R)22.0%2.0
7. Andrew McCutchen (R)21.8%2.0
8. Danny Jansen (R)18.0%2.0
9. Michael Helman (R)20.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+108-143
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB15.8%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.6%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.8%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)27.0%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)25.3%3.0
5. Nolan Gorman (L)19.3%2.5
6. Masyn Winn (R)20.0%2.0
7. Bryan Torres (L)24.6%2.0
8. Pedro Pagés (R)21.3%2.0
9. José Fermín (R)23.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-122
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.2 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)25.4%3.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)22.9%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)23.5%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)19.4%2.3
5. Jakob Marsee (L)20.4%2.0
6. Javier Sanoja (R)23.0%2.0
7. Owen Caissie (L)21.2%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
9. Esteury Ruiz (R)23.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+110-146
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.2%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chandler Simpson (L)25.3%3.0
2. Junior Caminero (R)23.1%3.0
3. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.8%3.0
4. Oliver Dunn (L)19.0%3.0
5. Richie Palacios (L)22.9%3.0
6. Cedric Mullins (L)20.2%2.6
7. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)18.8%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)23.6%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Cole (L)19.7%3.0
2. Braden Shewmake (L)24.6%3.0
3. Yordan Alvarez (L)22.9%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)23.1%2.8
5. Jake Meyers (R)22.3%2.0
6. Cam Smith (R)19.8%2.0
7. Brice Matthews (R)19.4%2.0
8. Nick Allen (R)23.3%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-151+114
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.1%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)18.5%3.0
2. Ian Happ (L)19.4%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)21.3%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)22.6%3.0
5. Michael Conforto (L)20.5%2.2
6. Nico Hoerner (R)21.4%2.0
7. Seiya Suzuki (R)19.3%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)23.6%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)19.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-163+123
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)23.2%3.0
2. Hunter Goodman (R)22.6%3.0
3. Edouard Julien (L)18.1%3.0
4. Tyler Freeman (R)21.8%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)28.4%2.4
6. Willi Castro (L)20.3%2.0
7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)20.5%2.0
8. Braxton Fulford (R)20.4%2.0
9. Kyle Karros (R)18.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+102-135
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB16.2%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)24.0%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (R)20.3%3.0
3. Austin Martin (R)24.1%3.0
4. Josh Bell (R)23.1%2.9
5. Kody Clemens (L)24.8%2.0
6. Tristan Gray (L)22.6%2.0
7. Luke Keaschall (R)23.0%2.0
8. Trevor Larnach (L)20.8%2.0
9. Victor Caratini (R)18.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-166+124
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)24.6%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)20.5%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.5%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)21.1%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)19.6%3.0
6. Andrew Benintendi (L)21.8%2.4
7. Tristan Peters (L)23.0%2.0
8. Drew Romo (L)20.8%2.0
9. Rikuu Nishida (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings+104-138
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.6 BF
Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)21.3%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)19.9%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)25.0%2.6
4. Alec Bohm (R)22.4%2.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)26.6%2.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)22.9%2.0
7. Adolis García (R)17.9%2.0
8. Justin Crawford (L)21.5%2.0
9. Rafael Marchán (L)18.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-133+100
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)24.6%3.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.1%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)22.5%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)23.4%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.6%3.0
6. Dane Myers (R)23.1%2.8
7. Spencer Steer (R)22.4%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)18.8%2.0
9. Matt McLain (R)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-126
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.8%
vs RHB23.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)19.8%3.0
2. Aaron Judge (R)22.3%3.0
3. Ben Rice (L)23.3%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)21.0%3.0
5. Max Schuemann (R)21.1%3.0
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)22.5%3.0
7. Anthony Volpe (R)19.0%2.7
8. J.C. Escarra (L)16.2%2.0
9. José Caballero (R)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+114-151
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Maikel Garcia (R)23.1%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)25.2%3.0
3. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.9%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)21.6%3.0
5. Carter Jensen (L)22.2%2.6
6. Lucas Erceg (L)22.5%2.0
7. Isaac Collins (L)20.1%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)20.5%2.0
9. Lane Thomas (R)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.4%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)25.4%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.8%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.1%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)23.8%3.0
5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)22.7%2.6
6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)25.3%2.0
7. Gabriel Moreno (R)23.1%2.0
8. Jose Fernandez (R)23.4%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (L)18.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-140+106
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carlos Cortes (L)26.2%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)24.5%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)23.1%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)20.3%2.9
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)20.2%2.0
6. Henry Bolte (R)21.5%2.0
7. Jeff McNeil (L)22.7%2.0
8. Zack Gelof (R)20.0%2.0
9. Darell Hernaiz (R)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)22.7%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)24.0%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)21.2%3.0
4. José Tena (L)20.9%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)22.4%3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)25.8%2.7
7. Jacob Young (R)22.1%2.0
8. Drew Millas (L)19.7%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (L)16.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)25.1%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)22.9%3.0
3. Mark Vientos (R)26.2%3.0
4. Marcus Semien (R)20.5%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)20.7%2.7
6. MJ Melendez (L)20.3%2.0
7. Nick Morabito (R)22.5%2.0
8. Brett Baty (L)20.5%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)22.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+118-157
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.2%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.9 BF
Expected batters faced18.9
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.3%2.9
2. Mookie Betts (R)20.4%2.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)22.7%2.0
4. Andy Pages (R)21.7%2.0
5. Kyle Tucker (L)20.1%2.0
6. Teoscar Hernández (R)26.0%2.0
7. Will Smith (R)22.5%2.0
8. Hyeseong Kim (L)22.6%2.0
9. Miguel Rojas (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-111-120
We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.8%3.0
2. Miguel Andujar (R)24.3%3.0
3. Xander Bogaerts (R)23.0%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)23.0%3.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)21.0%3.0
6. Nick Castellanos (R)21.8%2.3
7. Ty France (R)21.8%2.0
8. Ramón Laureano (R)21.3%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+123-164
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.9%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)20.2%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)23.3%3.0
3. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.3%3.0
5. Myles Straw (R)23.3%3.0
6. Ernie Clement (R)26.0%2.1
7. Andrés Giménez (L)21.3%2.0
8. Brandon Valenzuela (L)22.4%2.0
9. Lenyn Sosa (R)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-146+110
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.7%3.0
2. Victor Robles (R)23.5%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)22.9%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)24.4%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)23.5%2.8
6. Cole Young (L)21.7%2.0
7. Dominic Canzone (L)22.0%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)19.5%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)25.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.0%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)24.5%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)21.4%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)21.8%3.0
4. Christian Yelich (L)20.5%3.0
5. Andrew Vaughn (R)27.0%2.6
6. Luis Rengifo (R)18.6%2.0
7. Blake Perkins (R)21.6%2.0
8. Garrett Mitchell (L)20.1%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-148
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.0 BF
Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)25.6%3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)26.6%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)23.3%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)24.5%3.0
5. Matt Chapman (R)21.6%3.0
6. Daniel Susac (R)24.3%3.0
7. Bryce Eldridge (L)19.8%3.0
8. Harrison Bader (R)20.1%2.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-147+110
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
25 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Aaron CivaleP
ATHvsSEA· proj #24
9HFinal
2
Tanner BibeeP
CLEvsWSH· proj #19
8HFinal
T2
Janson JunkP
MIA@TOR· proj #23
8HFinal
4
Landen RouppP
SFvsAZ· proj #17
7HFinal
T4
Matthew LiberatoreP
STL@MIL· proj #25
7HFinal
6
Nick LodoloP
CIN@NYM· proj #20
6HFinal
T6
Tanner GordonP
COL@LAD· proj #21
6HFinal
8
Trey YesavageP
TORvsMIA· proj #6
5HFinal
T8
Kyle BradishP
BALvsTB· proj #7
5HFinal
T8
Carmen MlodzinskiP
PITvsCHC· proj #9
5HFinal
T8
Emmet SheehanP
LADvsCOL· proj #10
5HFinal
T8
Anthony KayP
CWSvsMIN· proj #11
5HFinal
T8
Zebby MatthewsP
MIN@CWS· proj #12
5HFinal
T8
Nolan McLeanP
NYMvsCIN· proj #14
5HFinal
T8
Michael WachaP
KCvsNYY· proj #15
5HFinal
16
Ben BrownP
CHC@PIT· proj #2
4HFinal
T16
Kumar RockerP
TEXvsHOU· proj #8
4HFinal
T16
Jesús LuzardoP
PHI@SD· proj #22
4HFinal
T16
Merrill KellyP
AZ@SF· proj #26
4HFinal
20
Shane McClanahanP
TB@BAL· proj #3
3HFinal
T20
Griffin CanningP
SDvsPHI· proj #13
3HFinal
T20
Will WarrenP
NYY@KC· proj #16
3HFinal
23
PJ PoulinP
WSH@CLE· proj #1
2HFinal
T23
Jacob MisiorowskiP
MILvsSTL· proj #5
2HFinal
T23
Luis CastilloP
SEA@ATH· proj #18
2HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
3/475%
season 43%+32 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
5/863%
season 46%+17 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
11/1861%
season building
Top 50
13/2454%
season building
Full slate
13/2454%
season 48%+6 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Monday, May 25, 2026
PJ Poulin (WSH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Monday, May 25, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H, with Ben Brown (CHC) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin (WSH) tops the Monday, May 25, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H vs CLE. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Ben Brown (CHC) (74) — about 2.9 H vs PIT.
Shane McClanahan (TB) (53) — about 3.8 H vs BAL.
Tatsuya Imai (HOU) (47) — about 4.1 H vs TEX.
Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) (43) — about 4.2 H vs STL.
Trey Yesavage (TOR) (38) — about 4.4 H vs MIA.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 3.5 H. PJ Poulin finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Monday, May 25, 2026)?
PJ Poulin (WSH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H against CLE.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Monday, May 25, 2026: PJ Poulin (~1.8 H), Ben Brown (~2.9 H), Shane McClanahan (~3.8 H), Tatsuya Imai (~4.1 H), Jacob Misiorowski (~4.2 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
