MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Monday, May 25, 2026

PHI @ SD Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
30
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 67°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, L To R

PHI Jesús Luzardo · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+123-164

We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.8%3.0 PA
2Miguel Andujar (R)24.3%3.0 PA
3Xander Bogaerts (R)23.0%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)23.0%3.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)21.0%3.0 PA
6Nick Castellanos (R)21.8%2.3 PA
7Ty France (R)21.8%2.0 PA
8Ramón Laureano (R)21.3%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0 PA

SD Griffin Canning · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-133+100

We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)21.3%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)19.9%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)25.0%2.6 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)22.4%2.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)26.6%2.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)22.9%2.0 PA
7Adolis García (R)17.9%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)21.5%2.0 PA
9Rafael Marchán (L)18.6%2.0 PA