‹ Hits Allowed · Monday, May 25, 2026
CHC @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
1–2
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 73°F CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To CF
Ben Brown · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.2 BF
Expected batters faced14.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 2.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)25.0%2.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)22.7%2.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)20.4%2.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)27.0%2.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)21.6%2.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)18.9%1.2 PA
7Konnor Griffin (R)23.7%1.0 PA
8Jhostynxon Garcia (R)22.8%1.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)16.3%1.0 PA
Carmen Mlodzinski · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.1%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-163+123
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)18.5%3.0 PA
2Ian Happ (L)19.4%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.3%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)22.6%3.0 PA
5Michael Conforto (L)20.5%2.2 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)21.4%2.0 PA
7Seiya Suzuki (R)19.3%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)23.6%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)19.6%2.0 PA