MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Monday, May 25, 2026

CIN @ NYM Hits Allowed matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
72
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 71°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

CIN Nick Lodolo · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+118-157

We project 5.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)25.1%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)22.9%3.0 PA
3Mark Vientos (R)26.2%3.0 PA
4Marcus Semien (R)20.5%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)20.7%2.7 PA
6MJ Melendez (L)20.3%2.0 PA
7Nick Morabito (R)22.5%2.0 PA
8Brett Baty (L)20.5%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)22.2%2.0 PA

NYM Nolan McLean · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-126
FANFanatics-120-120

We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)24.6%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (L)25.1%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)22.5%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)23.4%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)21.6%3.0 PA
6Dane Myers (R)23.1%2.8 PA
7Spencer Steer (R)22.4%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)18.8%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)19.3%2.0 PA