‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
CHC @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
10–4
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF
Jameson Taillon · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-118
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-141+106
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)25.9%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.8%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)20.6%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)26.2%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)22.4%3.0 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)22.9%2.4 PA
7Marcell Ozuna (R)18.8%2.0 PA
8Endy Rodríguez (L)22.6%2.0 PA
9Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0 PA
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)18.4%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)20.9%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.2%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)23.8%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)19.3%3.0 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)19.0%3.0 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)19.8%3.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)24.9%2.3 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)18.8%2.0 PA