Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, May 27, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.2 BF
Expected batters faced10.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)23.1%2.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)23.5%1.2
3. JJ Bleday (L)22.3%1.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)22.7%1.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)22.7%1.0
6. Matt McLain (R)19.1%1.0
7. Spencer Steer (R)22.6%1.0
8. P.J. Higgins (R)24.1%1.0
9. Dane Myers (R)23.1%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.6 BF
Expected batters faced9.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)22.9%1.6
2. José Ramírez (R)25.8%1.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)23.9%1.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)23.4%1.0
5. Angel Martínez (R)23.1%1.0
6. Daniel Schneemann (L)23.6%1.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)19.3%1.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)21.8%1.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (R)22.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.5 BF
Expected batters faced14.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)22.6%2.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.6%2.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)26.3%2.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)25.3%2.0
5. Nolan Gorman (L)19.0%2.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)19.6%1.4
7. Bryan Torres (L)26.2%1.0
8. Yohel Pozo (R)24.2%1.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)16.7%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-112
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 3.0 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Holliday (L)20.5%3.0
2. Weston Wilson (R)22.0%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (R)20.6%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)22.3%2.4
5. Coby Mayo (R)24.6%2.0
6. Leody Taveras (R)19.3%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)20.7%2.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)21.7%2.0
9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-169
We project 4.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.5%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Matt Vierling (R)20.3%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.4%3.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R)21.6%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)26.1%3.0
5. Zach McKinstry (L)19.6%3.0
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)18.6%2.9
7. Wenceel Pérez (L)17.4%2.0
8. Jahmai Jones (R)19.4%2.0
9. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-153+115
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.3 BF
Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)25.5%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)19.9%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)24.3%3.0
4. Randal Grichuk (R)24.7%2.3
5. Rikuu Nishida (L)22.5%2.0
6. Edgar Quero (R)18.8%2.0
7. Tristan Peters (L)19.4%2.0
8. Sam Antonacci (L)19.6%2.0
9. Luisangel Acuña (R)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-140
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.0 BF
Expected batters faced20.0
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chandler Simpson (L)26.1%3.0
2. Oliver Dunn (L)19.7%3.0
3. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)21.8%2.0
4. Nick Fortes (R)23.3%2.0
5. Richie Palacios (L)21.4%2.0
6. Ryan Vilade (R)22.0%2.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)19.3%2.0
8. Carson Williams (R)20.7%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.2%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nathan Lukes (L)25.6%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)22.9%3.0
3. Daulton Varsho (L)23.8%3.0
4. George Springer (R)20.8%3.0
5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.6%2.5
6. Myles Straw (R)23.2%2.0
7. Ernie Clement (R)26.6%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)20.6%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (L)18.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-122-108
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Maikel Garcia (R)21.9%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)25.0%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.1%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)21.2%3.0
5. Carter Jensen (L)21.6%2.8
6. Lane Thomas (R)19.9%2.0
7. Jac Caglianone (L)21.8%2.0
8. Michael Massey (L)21.9%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-155+116
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)21.3%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)19.8%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)21.7%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)19.7%2.8
5. Wade Meckler (L)28.3%2.0
6. Jo Adell (R)20.4%2.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)21.4%2.0
8. Donovan Walton (L)19.7%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)18.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.5%
vs RHB18.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chad Stevens (R)20.0%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)22.4%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)25.3%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)22.1%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)28.9%3.0
6. Willi Castro (L)20.7%2.5
7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.7%2.0
8. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
9. Kyle Karros (R)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+130-173
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.9%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)19.3%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)21.9%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)24.6%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)22.1%2.6
5. Bryson Stott (L)22.0%2.0
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)22.3%2.0
7. Adolis García (R)17.8%2.0
8. Justin Crawford (L)21.0%2.0
9. Edmundo Sosa (R)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carlos Cortes (L)24.9%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.8%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)23.0%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)21.1%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (L)21.5%3.0
6. Henry Bolte (R)21.6%2.1
7. Jeff McNeil (L)22.8%2.0
8. Zack Gelof (R)20.4%2.0
9. Darell Hernaiz (R)22.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+110-146
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)18.7%3.0
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)23.4%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.2%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)22.9%3.0
5. Austin Riley (R)21.8%3.0
6. Michael Harris II (L)24.5%2.2
7. Jorge Mateo (R)22.0%2.0
8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.4%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)23.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+104-139
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.8%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)25.0%3.0
3. Randy Arozarena (R)22.1%3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L)22.6%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)20.5%3.0
6. Victor Robles (R)25.7%2.2
7. Cole Young (L)18.9%2.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)24.1%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)19.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-132
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)18.4%3.0
2. Nico Hoerner (R)20.9%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)21.2%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)23.8%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)19.3%3.0
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)19.0%3.0
7. Michael Conforto (L)19.8%3.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)24.9%2.3
9. Dansby Swanson (R)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)26.9%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.5%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.0%3.0
4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.4%3.0
5. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)24.2%3.0
6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)22.4%2.3
7. Jose Fernandez (R)23.5%2.0
8. Aramis Garcia (R)21.1%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (L)18.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-148
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB16.9%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)20.6%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.3%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)21.3%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)24.8%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.5%3.0
6. Mickey Gasper (L)23.4%3.0
7. Nick Sogard (L)22.8%2.9
8. Marcelo Mayer (L)19.9%2.0
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)25.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)25.0%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)24.7%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)22.0%3.0
4. Mark Vientos (R)25.2%3.0
5. Marcus Semien (R)21.9%2.2
6. A.J. Ewing (L)21.0%2.0
7. Jared Young (L)23.6%2.0
8. Brett Baty (L)21.0%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+110-146
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Orlando Arcia (R)25.9%3.0
2. Ryan Kreidler (R)22.3%3.0
3. Trevor Larnach (L)23.9%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)20.3%3.0
5. Kody Clemens (L)21.1%3.0
6. James Outman (L)19.4%2.0
7. Luke Keaschall (R)22.1%2.0
8. Tristan Gray (L)20.0%2.0
9. Alex Jackson (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-143+108
We project 5.1 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)21.7%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)23.1%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)23.0%3.0
4. Taylor Trammell (L)23.4%3.0
5. Cam Smith (R)19.8%2.5
6. Nick Allen (R)24.2%2.0
7. Jake Meyers (R)21.1%2.0
8. Brice Matthews (R)20.6%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+109-144
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)25.0%3.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)22.3%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)23.2%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)20.2%3.0
5. Jakob Marsee (L)20.0%3.0
6. Connor Norby (R)21.2%2.9
7. Javier Sanoja (R)25.5%2.0
8. Esteury Ruiz (R)22.4%2.0
9. Graham Pauley (L)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-162
FANFanatics+135-195
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)25.1%3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)26.4%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)23.3%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)24.5%3.0
5. Matt Chapman (R)21.3%3.0
6. Bryce Eldridge (L)19.1%2.6
7. Daniel Susac (R)23.4%2.0
8. Harrison Bader (R)19.9%2.0
9. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-155+117
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.3%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)23.1%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)21.9%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)20.4%3.0
5. Max Muncy (L)21.3%2.7
6. Hyeseong Kim (L)23.0%2.0
7. Will Smith (R)22.5%2.0
8. Alex Call (R)20.8%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.4 BF
Expected batters faced25.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.9%3.0
2. Andrés Chaparro (R)21.9%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)22.3%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.5%3.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)25.1%3.0
6. José Tena (L)20.9%3.0
7. Jorbit Vivas (L)21.1%3.0
8. Drew Millas (L)19.6%2.4
9. Jacob Young (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-167+125
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.8%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)26.8%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)22.5%3.0
3. Aaron Judge (R)21.4%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)24.9%3.0
5. Trent Grisham (L)20.9%3.0
6. Anthony Volpe (R)24.6%2.5
7. Ryan McMahon (L)21.4%2.0
8. José Caballero (R)22.2%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)18.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+107-142
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB24.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)25.9%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.8%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)20.6%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)26.2%3.0
5. Oneil Cruz (L)22.4%3.0
6. Konnor Griffin (R)22.9%2.4
7. Marcell Ozuna (R)18.8%2.0
8. Endy Rodríguez (L)22.6%2.0
9. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-118
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-141+106
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.9%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)20.8%3.0
2. Sam Haggerty (L)20.2%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.9%3.0
4. Josh Jung (R)24.3%3.0
5. Jake Burger (R)24.6%3.0
6. Evan Carter (L)19.8%3.0
7. Justin Foscue (R)20.8%2.3
8. Danny Jansen (R)17.8%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)21.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+109-145
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)24.2%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)24.6%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)23.9%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)26.7%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)24.4%3.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L)22.2%2.5
7. Luis Rengifo (L)22.8%2.0
8. Sal Frelick (L)23.0%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)20.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-166+125
We project 5.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.3%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload26.9 BF
Expected batters faced26.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.3%3.0
2. Miguel Andujar (R)24.6%3.0
3. Gavin Sheets (L)21.4%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)22.3%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)22.2%3.0
6. Ramón Laureano (R)20.9%3.0
7. Jackson Merrill (L)20.4%3.0
8. Nick Castellanos (R)21.2%3.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.9
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
27 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Bryce ElderP
ATL@BOS· proj #18
9HFinal
2
Connor PrielippP
MIN@CWS· proj #6
8HFinal
3
Steven MatzP
TB@BAL· proj #4
7HFinal
T3
José SorianoP
LAA@DET· proj #5
7HFinal
5
Trey GibsonP
BALvsTB· proj #7
6HFinal
T5
Jeffrey SpringsP
ATHvsSEA· proj #15
6HFinal
T5
Trevor McDonaldP
SFvsAZ· proj #17
6HFinal
T5
Andrew AbbottP
CIN@NYM· proj #19
6HFinal
T5
Kevin GausmanP
TORvsMIA· proj #22
6HFinal
T5
Tomoyuki SuganoP
COL@LAD· proj #24
6HFinal
T5
Cristopher SánchezP
PHI@SD· proj #30
6HFinal
12
Chad PatrickP
MILvsSTL· proj #3
5HFinal
T12
Logan GilbertP
SEA@ATH· proj #13
5HFinal
T12
Jameson TaillonP
CHC@PIT· proj #27
5HFinal
T12
Mike BurrowsP
HOU@TEX· proj #28
5HFinal
16
Gerrit ColeP
NYY@KC· proj #9
4HFinal
T16
Connelly EarlyP
BOSvsATL· proj #14
4HFinal
T16
Jacob deGromP
TEXvsHOU· proj #21
4HFinal
T16
Michael SorokaP
AZ@SF· proj #23
4HFinal
T16
Noah CameronP
KCvsNYY· proj #26
4HFinal
21
Eury PérezP
MIA@TOR· proj #8
3HFinal
T21
Walker BuehlerP
SDvsPHI· proj #12
3HFinal
T21
Gavin WilliamsP
CLEvsWSH· proj #25
3HFinal
24
Casey MizeP
DETvsLAA· proj #10
2HFinal
T24
Dustin MayP
STL@MIL· proj #29
2HFinal
26
Huascar BrazobánP
NYMvsCIN· proj #1
1HFinal
T26
David SandlinP
CWSvsMIN· proj #20
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
0/30%
season 43%-43 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
3/838%
season 46%-8 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
6/1735%
season building
Top 50
8/2730%
season building
Full slate
8/2730%
season 48%-18 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Huascar Brazobán (NYM) is the top hits allowed spot on the Wednesday, May 27, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H, with PJ Poulin (WSH) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Huascar Brazobán
Huascar Brazobán (NYM) tops the Wednesday, May 27, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H vs CIN. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
PJ Poulin (WSH) (96) — about 2.1 H vs CLE.
Chad Patrick (MIL) (74) — about 3.0 H vs STL.
Steven Matz (TB) (43) — about 4.2 H vs BAL.
José Soriano (LAA) (40) — about 4.3 H vs DET.
Connor Prielipp (MIN) (40) — about 4.3 H vs CWS.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.3 H. Huascar Brazobán finished with 1. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Wednesday, May 27, 2026)?
Huascar Brazobán (NYM) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.9 H against CIN.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Wednesday, May 27, 2026: Huascar Brazobán (~1.9 H), PJ Poulin (~2.1 H), Chad Patrick (~3.0 H), Steven Matz (~4.2 H), José Soriano (~4.3 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
