‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
ATL @ BOS Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
0–8
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 87°F ClearWind 8 mph, L To R
Bryce Elder · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB16.9%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)20.6%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.3%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.3%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)24.8%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)22.5%3.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)23.4%3.0 PA
7Nick Sogard (L)22.8%2.9 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)19.9%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)25.3%2.0 PA
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+104-139
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)18.7%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)23.4%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)23.2%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)22.9%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)21.8%3.0 PA
6Michael Harris II (L)24.5%2.2 PA
7Jorge Mateo (R)22.0%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.4%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)23.2%2.0 PA