‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
TB @ BAL Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
2–11
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 80°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, Out To RF
Steven Matz · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-169
We project 4.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jackson Holliday (L)20.5%3.0 PA
2Weston Wilson (R)22.0%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (R)20.6%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)22.3%2.4 PA
5Coby Mayo (R)24.6%2.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (R)19.3%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)20.7%2.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)21.7%2.0 PA
9Jeremiah Jackson (R)22.1%2.0 PA
Trey Gibson · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.0 BF
Expected batters faced20.0
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)26.1%3.0 PA
2Oliver Dunn (L)19.7%3.0 PA
3Victor Mesa Jr. (L)21.8%2.0 PA
4Nick Fortes (R)23.3%2.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)21.4%2.0 PA
6Ryan Vilade (R)22.0%2.0 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)19.3%2.0 PA
8Carson Williams (R)20.7%2.0 PA
9Hunter Feduccia (L)20.8%2.0 PA