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Hits Allowed · Thursday, May 28, 2026

HOU @ TEX Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
51
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

HOU Spencer Arrighetti · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate15.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB17.1%
vs RHB17.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-128-103
FANFanatics-135-105

We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Justin Foscue (R)20.3%3.0 PA
2Sam Haggerty (L)20.3%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)22.3%3.0 PA
4Josh Jung (R)24.3%3.0 PA
5Evan Carter (L)19.6%3.0 PA
6Jake Burger (R)23.3%3.0 PA
7Ezequiel Duran (R)23.6%2.4 PA
8Kyle Higashioka (R)21.2%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)20.6%2.0 PA

TEX Nathan Eovaldi · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.5 BF

Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114

We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)21.6%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)24.0%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)18.5%3.0 PA
4Jake Meyers (R)20.3%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)19.7%3.0 PA
6Braden Shewmake (L)24.4%3.0 PA
7Nick Allen (R)24.2%3.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)21.1%2.5 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)22.7%2.0 PA