‹ Hits Allowed · Thursday, May 28, 2026
CHC @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
7–2
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 73°F ClearWind 10 mph, L To R
Colin Rea · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-132-101
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)25.4%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.9%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.5%3.0 PA
4Oneil Cruz (L)21.1%3.0 PA
5Jhostynxon Garcia (R)21.8%3.0 PA
6Jake Mangum (L)22.0%2.3 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)21.9%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)21.5%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)16.9%2.0 PA
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-113
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)18.7%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)21.5%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.3%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)24.1%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)20.1%2.6 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)19.4%2.0 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)20.6%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)20.2%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)19.9%2.0 PA