‹ Hits Allowed · Thursday, May 28, 2026
ATL @ BOS Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
10–2
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 68°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, In From CF
Chris Sale · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB18.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-133+101
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)21.1%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.8%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)29.5%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)23.9%3.0 PA
5Andruw Monasterio (R)22.1%3.0 PA
6Marcelo Mayer (L)21.7%3.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)22.3%2.4 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)25.0%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)20.2%2.0 PA
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB17.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)17.8%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)22.9%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.3%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)23.2%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)21.3%3.0 PA
6Michael Harris II (L)24.0%2.2 PA
7Jorge Mateo (R)23.9%2.0 PA
8Dominic Smith (L)23.4%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)23.8%2.0 PA