SD @ WSH Hits Allowed matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026

San Diego Padres

7–5

Final

WSH

Washington Nationals

◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 78°F ClearWind 11 mph, Out To RF

Lucas Giolito · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.5% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+127-169

We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1James Wood (L)24.2%3.0 PA

2Luis García Jr. (L)23.8%3.0 PA

3Curtis Mead (R)22.7%3.0 PA

4CJ Abrams (L)24.1%3.0 PA

5Dylan Crews (R)23.4%2.0 PA

6Daylen Lile (L)23.3%2.0 PA

7José Tena (L)20.3%2.0 PA

8Drew Millas (L)20.0%2.0 PA

9Jorbit Vivas (L)20.4%2.0 PA

Paxton Schultz · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.6%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.0 BF

Expected batters faced10.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.2%2.0 PA

2Sung-Mun Song (L)22.0%1.0 PA

3Xander Bogaerts (R)22.1%1.0 PA

4Manny Machado (R)17.5%1.0 PA

5Jackson Merrill (L)19.6%1.0 PA

6Miguel Andujar (R)24.5%1.0 PA

7Ramón Laureano (R)21.6%1.0 PA

8Ty France (R)24.9%1.0 PA

9Freddy Fermin (R)16.3%1.0 PA