Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Friday, May 29, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Friday, May 29, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload8.1 BF
Expected batters faced8.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)21.9%1.0
2. José Ramírez (R)26.0%1.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)24.3%1.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)18.5%1.0
5. Kyle Manzardo (L)24.5%1.0
6. Angel Martínez (R)23.3%1.0
7. Daniel Schneemann (L)23.1%1.0
8. Patrick Bailey (R)19.6%1.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (R)22.6%0.1
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.7 BF
Expected batters faced9.7
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)21.2%1.7
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.0%1.0
3. Adley Rutschman (R)20.8%1.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)21.7%1.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)21.8%1.0
6. Leody Taveras (R)19.8%1.0
7. Tyler O'Neill (R)17.7%1.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)22.1%1.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)19.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.6%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.0 BF
Expected batters faced10.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.2%2.0
2. Sung-Mun Song (L)22.0%1.0
3. Xander Bogaerts (R)22.1%1.0
4. Manny Machado (R)17.5%1.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)19.6%1.0
6. Miguel Andujar (R)24.5%1.0
7. Ramón Laureano (R)21.6%1.0
8. Ty France (R)24.9%1.0
9. Freddy Fermin (R)16.3%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB17.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.6 BF
Expected batters faced14.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)23.7%2.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)23.9%2.0
3. Brice Turang (L)23.3%2.0
4. William Contreras (R)26.5%2.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)24.1%2.0
6. Blake Perkins (L)16.7%1.6
7. Luis Rengifo (L)22.0%1.0
8. Sal Frelick (L)22.0%1.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)19.7%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.6%
vs RHB16.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.3 BF
Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lawrence Butler (L)20.2%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)21.0%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)24.8%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)21.8%2.3
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)20.3%2.0
6. Henry Bolte (R)23.8%2.0
7. Zack Gelof (R)23.0%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)20.6%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.9%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)22.1%3.0
2. Vidal Bruján (L)23.0%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)25.1%3.0
4. MJ Melendez (L)18.9%3.0
5. A.J. Ewing (L)24.1%2.9
6. Mark Vientos (R)19.5%2.0
7. Brett Baty (L)23.0%2.0
8. Marcus Semien (R)20.0%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)20.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-154+116
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)25.0%3.0
2. Derek Hill (R)21.3%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)17.5%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)21.0%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)21.1%2.8
6. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.1%2.0
7. Tristan Peters (L)24.5%2.0
8. Rikuu Nishida (L)22.5%2.0
9. Drew Romo (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lane Thomas (R)22.0%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)26.3%3.0
3. Maikel Garcia (R)24.2%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)23.2%2.7
5. Starling Marte (R)23.1%2.0
6. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.6%2.0
7. Nick Loftin (R)20.0%2.0
8. Jac Caglianone (L)20.6%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)20.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-131-101
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)25.4%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)23.5%3.0
3. Taylor Walls (L)20.2%3.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R)20.5%2.2
5. Chandler Simpson (L)26.4%2.0
6. Oliver Dunn (L)19.3%2.0
7. Richie Palacios (L)21.7%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)24.3%2.0
9. Cedric Mullins (L)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-158+119
We project 4.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB16.6%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.9%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)24.1%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)22.7%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)20.3%3.0
5. Kyle Tucker (L)20.3%3.0
6. Max Muncy (L)21.1%2.3
7. Will Smith (R)23.1%2.0
8. Alex Call (R)21.5%2.0
9. Miguel Rojas (R)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB18.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)24.2%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)23.8%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)22.7%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.1%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)23.4%2.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)23.3%2.0
7. José Tena (L)20.3%2.0
8. Drew Millas (L)20.0%2.0
9. Jorbit Vivas (L)20.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-169
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)21.6%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)24.5%3.0
3. Sam Haggerty (L)20.3%3.0
4. Justin Foscue (R)20.3%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)24.3%3.0
6. Evan Carter (L)18.6%2.9
7. Alejandro Osuna (L)21.2%2.0
8. Danny Jansen (R)17.9%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)19.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-124
We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)22.7%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)23.2%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)20.0%3.0
4. James Outman (L)19.4%3.0
5. Trevor Larnach (L)22.8%3.0
6. Austin Martin (R)22.5%2.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)19.5%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)22.0%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+128-171
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Brice Matthews (R)20.3%3.0
2. Zach Dezenzo (R)21.6%3.0
3. Yordan Alvarez (L)23.5%3.0
4. Christian Walker (R)22.4%2.8
5. Cam Smith (R)20.2%2.0
6. Jeremy Peña (R)22.6%2.0
7. Jake Meyers (R)20.3%2.0
8. Nick Allen (R)23.9%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)22.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-101-131
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.7%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)25.0%3.0
2. Elly De La Cruz (L)22.4%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)21.1%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)21.7%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.9%2.6
6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)25.8%2.0
7. Spencer Steer (R)22.5%2.0
8. Tyler Stephenson (R)19.4%2.0
9. Will Benson (L)18.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-110
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-128-104
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.8%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)19.0%3.0
2. Nico Hoerner (R)21.4%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)21.0%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)23.6%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)21.6%3.0
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)20.3%2.5
7. Michael Conforto (L)20.5%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)24.6%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)19.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-133
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)26.2%3.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)22.1%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)25.3%3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L)20.5%3.0
5. Jakob Marsee (L)19.9%3.0
6. Connor Norby (R)20.5%3.0
7. Owen Caissie (L)21.9%2.4
8. Javier Sanoja (R)25.3%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-137+103
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Tyler Callihan (L)21.5%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.6%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)22.5%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)25.1%3.0
5. Oneil Cruz (L)20.8%3.0
6. Konnor Griffin (R)23.5%3.0
7. Endy Rodríguez (L)21.5%2.3
8. Jake Mangum (L)22.3%2.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-149+112
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.1%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.2%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)24.2%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)23.4%3.0
5. Victor Robles (R)22.1%2.4
6. Cole Young (L)22.8%2.0
7. Rob Refsnyder (R)20.6%2.0
8. Mitch Garver (R)18.1%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)24.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+130
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-160+120
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)21.8%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)19.4%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)20.8%3.0
4. Jo Adell (R)20.4%3.0
5. Wade Meckler (L)25.4%3.0
6. Oswald Peraza (R)20.8%3.0
7. Nick Madrigal (R)22.1%2.3
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)18.4%2.0
9. Jose Siri (R)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-127
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB25.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)22.8%3.0
2. Ernie Clement (R)23.7%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.2%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.4%2.6
5. Daulton Varsho (L)23.1%2.0
6. Andrés Giménez (L)19.2%2.0
7. Nathan Lukes (L)20.6%2.0
8. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%2.0
9. Brandon Valenzuela (R)21.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-122
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB25.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.1%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)20.9%3.0
3. Hao-Yu Lee (R)21.6%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)25.6%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.5%2.1
6. Wenceel Pérez (L)18.4%2.0
7. Matt Vierling (R)20.3%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)18.7%2.0
9. Zack Short (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-105
We project 5.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)18.6%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)23.0%3.0
3. Jordan Walker (R)21.9%3.0
4. Nelson Velázquez (R)23.5%3.0
5. Alec Burleson (L)21.5%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)22.6%3.0
7. José Fermín (R)18.1%2.5
8. Nolan Gorman (L)21.9%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)24.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+109-145
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)21.1%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)23.5%3.0
3. Aaron Judge (R)21.9%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)21.9%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)23.6%3.0
6. Paul Goldschmidt (R)19.3%3.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L)19.8%2.8
8. J.C. Escarra (L)19.6%2.0
9. José Caballero (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-102-130
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB25.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)22.8%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.0%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)19.9%3.0
4. Nick Sogard (L)22.9%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.8%3.0
6. Mickey Gasper (L)23.5%2.1
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)26.8%2.0
8. Marcelo Mayer (L)20.3%2.0
9. Caleb Durbin (R)18.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-126
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.4 BF
Expected batters faced25.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)24.2%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)21.6%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)20.1%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)22.9%3.0
5. Bryson Stott (L)23.2%3.0
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.9%3.0
7. Brandon Marsh (L)22.9%3.0
8. Adolis García (R)20.3%2.4
9. Steward Berroa (R)21.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-136+102
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.9%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)23.6%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)25.6%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)21.3%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)22.3%2.9
5. Dominic Smith (L)25.1%2.0
6. Austin Riley (R)21.5%2.0
7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.4%2.0
8. Jorge Mateo (R)23.5%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)22.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-103-129
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)27.2%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.4%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.4%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)22.5%3.0
5. Tim Tawa (R)20.4%3.0
6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)23.1%3.0
7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)22.4%2.8
8. Jose Fernandez (R)22.8%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)24.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-101-131
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 6.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB26.5%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.2 BF
Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)22.5%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)22.6%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)24.2%3.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)21.8%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)28.1%3.0
6. Willi Castro (L)20.5%3.0
7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.5%3.0
8. Edouard Julien (L)17.9%2.2
9. Chad Stevens (R)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 6.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate28.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.9%
vs RHB26.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)25.4%3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)27.9%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)23.0%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)23.5%3.0
5. Matt Chapman (R)20.8%3.0
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)24.3%2.2
7. Daniel Susac (R)22.5%2.0
8. Bryce Eldridge (L)19.2%2.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)24.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 6.7 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
30 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Andre PallanteP
STLvsCHC· proj #16
8HFinal
T1
Freddy PeraltaP
NYMvsMIA· proj #17
8HFinal
T1
Zac GallenP
AZ@SEA· proj #19
8HFinal
T1
Nick MartinezP
TBvsLAA· proj #20
8HFinal
5
Jared JonesP
PITvsMIN· proj #13
7HFinal
T5
Grant HolmesP
ATL@CIN· proj #15
7HFinal
T5
Slade CecconiP
CLEvsBOS· proj #25
7HFinal
T5
Chris PaddackP
CINvsATL· proj #27
7HFinal
9
Tyler SamaniegoP
BOS@CLE· proj #1
6HFinal
T9
Max MeyerP
MIA@NYM· proj #6
6HFinal
T9
Troy MeltonP
DET@CWS· proj #7
6HFinal
T9
Stephen KolekP
KC@TEX· proj #12
6HFinal
T9
Trevor RogersP
BALvsTOR· proj #21
6HFinal
T9
George KirbyP
SEAvsAZ· proj #28
6HFinal
15
Walbert UreñaP
LAA@TB· proj #9
5HFinal
T15
Zack WheelerP
PHI@LAD· proj #10
5HFinal
T15
Lucas GiolitoP
SD@WSH· proj #11
5HFinal
T15
Taj BradleyP
MIN@PIT· proj #18
5HFinal
T15
Shota ImanagaP
CHC@STL· proj #23
5HFinal
T15
Michael LorenzenP
COLvsSF· proj #30
5HFinal
21
Carlos RodónP
NYY@ATH· proj #5
4HFinal
T21
MacKenzie GoreP
TEXvsKC· proj #8
4HFinal
T21
Coleman CrowP
MIL@HOU· proj #14
4HFinal
T21
Erick FeddeP
CWSvsDET· proj #22
4HFinal
25
Adam MackoP
TOR@BAL· proj #2
3HFinal
T25
Kai-Wei TengP
HOUvsMIL· proj #4
3HFinal
T25
Luis SeverinoP
ATHvsNYY· proj #24
3HFinal
T25
Logan WebbP
SF@COL· proj #29
3HFinal
29
Paxton SchultzP
WSHvsSD· proj #3
2HFinal
30
Justin WrobleskiP
LADvsPHI· proj #26
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/1100%
season 43%+57 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
2/633%
season 46%-13 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
8/1650%
season building
Top 50
12/2646%
season building
Full slate
12/2646%
season 48%-2 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Friday, May 29, 2026
Tyler Samaniego (BOS) is the top hits allowed spot on the Friday, May 29, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H, with Adam Macko (TOR) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Tyler Samaniego
Tyler Samaniego (BOS) tops the Friday, May 29, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H vs CLE. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Adam Macko (TOR) (96) — about 2.0 H vs BAL.
Paxton Schultz (WSH) (91) — about 2.3 H vs SD.
Kai-Wei Teng (HOU) (78) — about 2.9 H vs MIL.
Carlos Rodón (NYY) (53) — about 4.1 H vs ATH.
Max Meyer (MIA) (52) — about 4.2 H vs NYM.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.4 H. Tyler Samaniego finished with 6. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Friday, May 29, 2026)?
Tyler Samaniego (BOS) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H against CLE.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Friday, May 29, 2026: Tyler Samaniego (~1.8 H), Adam Macko (~2.0 H), Paxton Schultz (~2.3 H), Kai-Wei Teng (~2.9 H), Carlos Rodón (~4.1 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
