‹ Hits Allowed · Saturday, May 30, 2026
CHC @ STL Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
6–1
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 78°F CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To LF
Ben Brown · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload15.5 BF
Expected batters faced15.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-127
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 3.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)21.3%2.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)21.8%2.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)25.7%2.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)26.0%2.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)19.0%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)19.7%2.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)17.3%1.4 PA
8Bryan Torres (L)26.5%1.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)17.0%1.0 PA
Kyle Leahy · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.5%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+103-136
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)19.3%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)21.1%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)21.7%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)23.8%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)22.2%2.8 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)21.8%2.0 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)20.8%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)19.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)19.8%2.0 PA