Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Saturday, May 30, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, May 30, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload12.6 BF
Expected batters faced12.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)21.2%2.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)21.5%2.0
3. Juan Soto (L)24.4%2.0
4. Jared Young (L)22.9%1.6
5. Mark Vientos (R)19.9%1.0
6. A.J. Ewing (L)25.1%1.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)19.6%1.0
8. Vidal Bruján (L)23.0%1.0
9. Hayden Senger (R)20.3%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+129-172
We project 2.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload15.5 BF
Expected batters faced15.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)21.3%2.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)21.8%2.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)25.7%2.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)26.0%2.0
5. Nolan Gorman (L)19.0%2.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)19.7%2.0
7. Jimmy Crooks (L)17.3%1.4
8. Bryan Torres (L)26.5%1.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)17.0%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-127
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 3.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.5%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.3 BF
Expected batters faced18.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)23.4%2.3
2. Elly De La Cruz (R)24.1%2.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)23.7%2.0
4. Eugenio Suárez (R)21.9%2.0
5. Spencer Steer (R)23.9%2.0
6. JJ Bleday (L)24.8%2.0
7. Tyler Stephenson (R)21.0%2.0
8. Matt McLain (R)20.5%2.0
9. TJ Friedl (L)20.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+125
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+117
We project 3.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB15.6%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)22.3%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)21.0%3.0
3. Gage Workman (L)22.1%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)20.7%2.9
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)21.5%2.0
6. Colt Keith (L)21.3%2.0
7. Wenceel Pérez (R)22.1%2.0
8. Hao-Yu Lee (R)20.0%2.0
9. Zach McKinstry (L)19.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 3.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB18.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Adam Frazier (L)22.1%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)18.9%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)21.7%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)19.9%3.0
5. Jose Siri (R)22.0%2.5
6. Jo Adell (R)19.9%2.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)21.8%2.0
8. Donovan Walton (L)23.3%2.0
9. Sebastián Rivero (R)19.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-122-108
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB17.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)21.2%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)24.8%3.0
3. Aaron Judge (R)22.0%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)22.1%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)23.0%2.2
6. Paul Goldschmidt (R)19.5%2.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L)20.1%2.0
8. J.C. Escarra (L)18.9%2.0
9. Anthony Volpe (R)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-145+109
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB22.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.3 BF
Expected batters faced20.3
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)26.9%3.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)21.9%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)25.1%2.3
4. Kyle Stowers (L)22.2%2.0
5. Jakob Marsee (L)20.8%2.0
6. Leo Jiménez (R)22.4%2.0
7. Owen Caissie (L)22.6%2.0
8. Christopher Morel (R)19.5%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-118-112
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB19.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.6%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.5%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)22.2%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)22.4%2.9
5. Samuel Basallo (L)23.2%2.0
6. Coby Mayo (R)17.6%2.0
7. Leody Taveras (L)25.2%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)23.9%2.0
9. Colton Cowser (L)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.6%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)20.3%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)24.0%3.0
3. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.9%3.0
4. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)21.8%2.9
5. Salvador Perez (R)21.0%2.0
6. Jac Caglianone (L)21.6%2.0
7. Isaac Collins (L)19.9%2.0
8. Lane Thomas (R)19.5%2.0
9. Nick Loftin (R)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-111
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.9 BF
Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)22.4%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)22.3%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)22.3%2.9
4. Taylor Trammell (L)25.3%2.0
5. Isaac Paredes (R)18.5%2.0
6. Cam Smith (R)21.4%2.0
7. Nick Allen (R)22.8%2.0
8. Jake Meyers (R)21.6%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-110-121
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.5%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Clayton Beeter (R)22.5%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)23.8%3.0
3. Daylen Lile (L)23.8%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.0%3.0
5. Jacob Young (R)23.0%2.6
6. Jorbit Vivas (L)20.0%2.0
7. Dylan Crews (R)23.7%2.0
8. Drew Millas (L)19.8%2.0
9. Curtis Mead (R)22.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-119-112
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)22.1%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)23.4%3.0
3. Josh Bell (L)20.8%3.0
4. Kody Clemens (L)20.2%3.0
5. Austin Martin (R)22.0%3.0
6. James Outman (L)19.1%2.4
7. Orlando Arcia (R)24.1%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)22.5%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)21.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)27.7%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)19.3%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)20.5%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.3%2.0
5. Stuart Fairchild (R)19.9%2.0
6. David Fry (R)22.4%2.0
7. Petey Halpin (L)21.9%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)18.5%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)25.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB16.5%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)23.1%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)24.1%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)22.5%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)26.1%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)23.8%3.0
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)20.5%2.7
7. Garrett Mitchell (L)22.6%2.0
8. Gary Sánchez (R)17.7%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.8%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.6 BF
Expected batters faced19.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willy Adames (R)24.9%3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L)28.6%2.6
3. Casey Schmitt (R)23.2%2.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)23.9%2.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)25.8%2.0
6. Matt Chapman (R)21.0%2.0
7. Bryce Eldridge (L)19.6%2.0
8. Eric Haase (R)24.0%2.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)24.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 4.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)25.8%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)23.8%3.0
3. Colson Montgomery (L)21.9%3.0
4. Tristan Peters (L)19.4%3.0
5. Edgar Quero (R)19.7%3.0
6. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.0%2.5
7. Luisangel Acuña (R)19.1%2.0
8. Sam Antonacci (L)20.2%2.0
9. Rikuu Nishida (L)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+107-142
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.3%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)20.1%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)22.5%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)24.8%3.0
4. Steward Berroa (L)22.9%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)21.8%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)21.1%2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)23.3%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)17.8%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-155+117
FANFanatics-140+100
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)26.2%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)22.1%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.6%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)23.3%3.0
5. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.5%3.0
6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)23.0%2.4
7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.7%2.0
8. Jose Fernandez (R)24.3%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)22.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.5%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.8%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)24.1%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)24.4%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)24.3%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)22.8%2.5
7. Dominic Canzone (L)21.8%2.0
8. Mitch Garver (R)18.0%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)23.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-132-101
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)21.7%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.4%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)29.0%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)24.5%3.0
5. Marcelo Mayer (L)23.0%3.0
6. Masataka Yoshida (L)21.2%2.0
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.7%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)20.4%2.0
9. Caleb Durbin (R)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-138+104
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.5%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)19.3%3.0
2. Nico Hoerner (R)21.1%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)21.7%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)23.8%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)22.2%2.8
6. Seiya Suzuki (R)21.8%2.0
7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)20.8%2.0
8. Miguel Amaya (R)19.7%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+103-136
We project 5.1 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)25.9%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)23.3%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)23.2%3.0
4. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)22.2%3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L)24.1%3.0
6. Ben Williamson (R)23.1%3.0
7. Nick Fortes (R)20.6%2.1
8. Cedric Mullins (L)23.2%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (R)19.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-137
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)25.4%3.0
2. Gavin Sheets (L)21.1%3.0
3. Miguel Andujar (R)24.4%3.0
4. Manny Machado (R)21.7%3.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)22.4%3.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)22.0%3.0
7. Ty France (R)24.2%2.1
8. Ramón Laureano (R)20.4%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-116
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB23.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)20.8%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)26.2%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)23.6%3.0
4. Daulton Varsho (L)22.9%3.0
5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.2%3.0
6. Myles Straw (R)23.4%2.1
7. Ernie Clement (R)27.0%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)21.1%2.0
9. Tyler Heineman (L)17.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-137
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.2%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)26.3%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)22.4%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)20.9%3.0
5. Kyle Tucker (L)23.3%3.0
6. Will Smith (R)19.4%2.5
7. Max Muncy (L)20.4%2.0
8. Alex Call (R)24.7%2.0
9. Dalton Rushing (L)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+120-159
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Lawrence Butler (L)20.2%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)20.9%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)23.6%3.0
4. Brent Rooker (R)21.2%3.0
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)20.9%3.0
6. Henry Bolte (R)27.6%2.7
7. Zack Gelof (R)23.4%2.0
8. Darell Hernaiz (R)22.5%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-121-110
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)24.8%3.0
2. Tyler Callihan (L)21.5%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)22.0%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)25.3%3.0
5. Oneil Cruz (L)21.0%3.0
6. Konnor Griffin (R)24.2%3.0
7. Endy Rodríguez (L)21.1%2.0
8. Jake Mangum (L)22.1%2.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+108-144
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.4%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)22.5%3.0
2. TJ Rumfield (L)24.3%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)22.2%3.0
4. Willi Castro (L)21.5%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)27.9%2.8
6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.9%2.0
7. Kyle Karros (R)18.9%2.0
8. Tyler Freeman (R)23.4%2.0
9. Brett Sullivan (L)18.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-110
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-124-107
We project 5.5 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.9%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)21.5%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)24.4%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.3%3.0
4. Jake Burger (R)22.9%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)25.0%3.0
6. Sam Haggerty (L)20.3%3.0
7. Danny Jansen (R)17.3%2.8
8. Justin Foscue (R)20.3%2.0
9. Michael Helman (R)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-116-114
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.6%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)23.5%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)26.2%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)22.3%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (L)22.7%3.0
5. Dominic Smith (L)26.6%2.1
6. Mauricio Dubón (R)23.5%2.0
7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.6%2.0
8. Jorge Mateo (R)23.6%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+127-169
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
30 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Bailey OberP
MIN@PIT· proj #27
12HFinal
2
Mitch KellerP
PITvsMIN· proj #12
10HFinal
3
Adrian HouserP
SF@COL· proj #28
8HFinal
4
Ryne NelsonP
AZ@SEA· proj #19
7HFinal
T4
Brandon YoungP
BALvsTOR· proj #24
7HFinal
T4
Jesús LuzardoP
PHI@LAD· proj #25
7HFinal
7
Tyler PhillipsP
MIA@NYM· proj #1
6HFinal
T7
Anthony KayP
CWSvsDET· proj #4
6HFinal
T7
Brandon SproatP
MIL@HOU· proj #10
6HFinal
T7
Framber ValdezP
DET@CWS· proj #16
6HFinal
T7
Kyle LeahyP
STLvsCHC· proj #21
6HFinal
T7
Ryan WeathersP
NYY@ATH· proj #26
6HFinal
T7
Seth LugoP
KC@TEX· proj #29
6HFinal
14
Christian ScottP
NYMvsMIA· proj #7
5HFinal
T14
Michael KingP
SD@WSH· proj #11
5HFinal
T14
Peter LambertP
HOUvsMIL· proj #14
5HFinal
T14
Parker MessickP
CLEvsBOS· proj #20
5HFinal
T14
Reid DetmersP
LAA@TB· proj #22
5HFinal
T14
Foster GriffinP
WSHvsSD· proj #23
5HFinal
20
Martín PérezP
ATL@CIN· proj #3
4HFinal
T20
Drew RasmussenP
TBvsLAA· proj #5
4HFinal
T20
J.T. GinnP
ATHvsNYY· proj #6
4HFinal
T20
Sonny GrayP
BOS@CLE· proj #13
4HFinal
T20
Ryan FeltnerP
COLvsSF· proj #15
4HFinal
T20
Brady SingerP
CINvsATL· proj #30
4HFinal
26
Ben BrownP
CHC@STL· proj #2
3HFinal
T26
Kumar RockerP
TEXvsKC· proj #9
3HFinal
T26
Roki SasakiP
LADvsPHI· proj #17
3HFinal
29
Trey YesavageP
TOR@BAL· proj #8
2HFinal
T29
Bryan WooP
SEAvsAZ· proj #18
2HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
3/560%
season 43%+17 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
6/1060%
season 46%+14 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
11/2055%
season building
Top 50
14/3047%
season building
Full slate
14/3047%
season 48%-1 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Saturday, May 30, 2026
Tyler Phillips (MIA) is the top hits allowed spot on the Saturday, May 30, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.5 H, with Ben Brown (CHC) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips (MIA) tops the Saturday, May 30, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 2.5 H vs NYM. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Ben Brown (CHC) (82) — about 3.2 H vs STL.
Martín Pérez (ATL) (64) — about 3.8 H vs CIN.
Anthony Kay (CWS) (62) — about 3.9 H vs DET.
Drew Rasmussen (TB) (53) — about 4.2 H vs LAA.
J.T. Ginn (ATH) (53) — about 4.2 H vs NYY.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.3 H. Tyler Phillips finished with 6. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Saturday, May 30, 2026)?
Tyler Phillips (MIA) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 2.5 H against NYM.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Saturday, May 30, 2026: Tyler Phillips (~2.5 H), Ben Brown (~3.2 H), Martín Pérez (~3.8 H), Anthony Kay (~3.9 H), Drew Rasmussen (~4.2 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
