MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Saturday, May 30, 2026

AZ @ SEA Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
15
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 62°F ClearWind 6 mph, In From LF

AZ Ryne Nelson · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-132-101

We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)20.5%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)23.8%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)24.1%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)24.4%3.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)24.3%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)22.8%2.5 PA
7Dominic Canzone (L)21.8%2.0 PA
8Mitch Garver (R)18.0%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)23.3%2.0 PA

SEA Bryan Woo · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.8% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
FANFanatics-155+110

We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)26.2%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)22.1%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.6%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)23.3%3.0 PA
5Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.5%3.0 PA
6Ryan Waldschmidt (R)23.0%2.4 PA
7Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.7%2.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)24.3%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)22.8%2.0 PA