‹ Hits Allowed · Saturday, May 30, 2026
MIN @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
9–10
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 72°F SunnyWind 9 mph, L To R
Bailey Ober · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+108-144
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)24.8%3.0 PA
2Tyler Callihan (L)21.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)22.0%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)25.3%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)21.0%3.0 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)24.2%3.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)21.1%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)22.1%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)20.5%2.0 PA
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)22.1%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)23.4%3.0 PA
3Josh Bell (L)20.8%3.0 PA
4Kody Clemens (L)20.2%3.0 PA
5Austin Martin (R)22.0%3.0 PA
6James Outman (L)19.1%2.4 PA
7Orlando Arcia (R)24.1%2.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)21.0%2.0 PA