ATL @ CIN Hits Allowed matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

5–2

Final

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, In From RF

Martín Pérez · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB20.5%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.3 BF

Expected batters faced18.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

BOVBovada-155+115

DKDraftKings-156+117

We project 3.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Blake Dunn (R)23.4%2.3 PA

2Elly De La Cruz (R)24.1%2.0 PA

3Sal Stewart (R)23.7%2.0 PA

4Eugenio Suárez (R)21.9%2.0 PA

5Spencer Steer (R)23.9%2.0 PA

6JJ Bleday (L)24.8%2.0 PA

7Tyler Stephenson (R)21.0%2.0 PA

8Matt McLain (R)20.5%2.0 PA

9TJ Friedl (L)20.9%2.0 PA

Brady Singer · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.9% Hits / BF

vs LHB28.6%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+127-169

FANFanatics+120-170

We project 6.0 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)23.5%3.0 PA

2Michael Harris II (L)26.2%3.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)22.3%3.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (L)22.7%3.0 PA

5Dominic Smith (L)26.6%2.1 PA

6Mauricio Dubón (R)23.5%2.0 PA

7Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.6%2.0 PA

8Jorge Mateo (R)23.6%2.0 PA

9Chadwick Tromp (R)21.3%2.0 PA