MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Sunday, May 31, 2026

AZ @ SEA Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
23
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 63°F SunnyWind 10 mph, In From LF

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.1 BF

Expected batters faced25.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+125-167

We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)20.9%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)24.8%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)23.5%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)23.3%3.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)25.2%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)22.3%3.0 PA
7Victor Robles (R)22.1%3.0 PA
8Jhonny Pereda (R)20.1%2.1 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)23.7%2.0 PA

SEA Bryce Miller · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-124

We project 4.9 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)25.8%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)21.7%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.2%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)23.4%2.8 PA
5Ryan Waldschmidt (R)23.4%2.0 PA
6Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.5%2.0 PA
7Jose Fernandez (R)24.0%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Moreno (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)21.8%2.0 PA