Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Sunday, May 31, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, May 31, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload8.8 BF
Expected batters faced8.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)24.6%1.0
2. MJ Melendez (L)19.8%1.0
3. Vidal Bruján (R)20.7%1.0
4. Jared Young (L)22.3%1.0
5. Mark Vientos (R)24.0%1.0
6. A.J. Ewing (L)19.3%1.0
7. Brett Baty (L)21.2%1.0
8. Marcus Semien (R)21.6%1.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)21.2%0.8
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB18.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload13.9 BF
Expected batters faced13.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)19.9%2.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.3%2.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)21.6%2.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)22.5%2.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)23.4%1.9
6. Leody Taveras (L)25.2%1.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)22.8%1.0
8. Blaze Alexander (R)24.4%1.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)23.9%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-164+123
We project 2.9 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.6%
vs RHB18.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.1 BF
Expected batters faced19.1
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)23.2%3.0
2. Garrett Mitchell (L)21.6%2.1
3. Brice Turang (L)21.9%2.0
4. Blake Perkins (L)16.9%2.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)23.4%2.0
6. Gary Sánchez (R)17.5%2.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)21.8%2.0
8. David Hamilton (L)20.3%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-170+130
DKDraftKings-169+127
We project 3.6 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate16.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB14.9%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)23.8%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)22.7%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)22.5%3.0
4. Taylor Trammell (L)25.0%3.0
5. Isaac Paredes (R)18.6%2.7
6. Cam Smith (R)21.8%2.0
7. Jake Meyers (R)22.7%2.0
8. Nick Allen (R)22.3%2.0
9. César Salazar (L)17.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-121-110
FANFanatics-170+120
We project 4.1 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.8%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)20.9%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)20.3%3.0
3. Vaughn Grissom (R)20.7%3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R)21.7%2.5
5. Jo Adell (R)22.6%2.0
6. Oswald Peraza (R)23.6%2.0
7. Wade Meckler (L)22.1%2.0
8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)23.6%2.0
9. Donovan Walton (L)20.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-158+119
We project 4.1 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.2%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)24.0%3.0
2. Matt McLain (R)18.0%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)20.2%3.0
4. Sal Stewart (R)23.3%2.5
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.8%2.0
6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)25.8%2.0
7. Spencer Steer (R)22.0%2.0
8. Will Benson (L)18.8%2.0
9. P.J. Higgins (R)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-165
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+129-172
We project 4.2 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.4%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.9%3.0
2. Andrés Chaparro (R)21.9%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)22.7%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)23.9%2.0
5. Daylen Lile (L)22.4%2.0
6. Jacob Young (R)23.4%2.0
7. José Tena (L)20.6%2.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (L)16.9%2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (L)23.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+122-162
We project 4.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness20.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Hao-Yu Lee (R)21.4%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.2%3.0
3. Spencer Torkelson (R)19.7%3.0
4. Jahmai Jones (R)19.3%3.0
5. Riley Greene (L)26.0%3.0
6. Matt Vierling (R)20.5%2.3
7. Wenceel Pérez (L)17.6%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)18.5%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)17.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-123
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 4.5 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB21.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.2%3.0
2. Gavin Sheets (L)23.4%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)17.8%3.0
4. Xander Bogaerts (R)21.1%2.6
5. Jackson Merrill (L)19.2%2.0
6. Ty France (R)24.3%2.0
7. Nick Castellanos (R)20.3%2.0
8. Sung-Mun Song (L)22.1%2.0
9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-162+121
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 4.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)19.9%3.0
2. Garrett Stubbs (L)20.8%3.0
3. Edmundo Sosa (R)19.9%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)26.6%3.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)22.1%3.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)20.5%3.0
7. Rafael Marchán (L)17.6%2.9
8. Steward Berroa (L)22.9%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+116-154
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carlos Cortes (L)25.0%3.0
2. Brent Rooker (R)20.0%3.0
3. Nick Kurtz (L)22.9%3.0
4. Henry Bolte (R)20.9%3.0
5. Jonah Heim (L)20.8%2.7
6. Lawrence Butler (L)18.3%2.0
7. Zack Gelof (R)22.3%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)21.7%2.0
9. Darell Hernaiz (R)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+115
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-161+121
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.5%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)25.7%3.0
2. Miguel Vargas (R)17.9%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)23.0%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)20.8%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)21.0%3.0
6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%2.0
7. Tristan Peters (L)25.6%2.0
8. Drew Romo (L)20.1%2.0
9. Luisangel Acuña (R)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+117
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (L)25.8%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.7%3.0
3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)22.2%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)23.4%2.8
5. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)23.4%2.0
6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.5%2.0
7. Jose Fernandez (R)24.0%2.0
8. Gabriel Moreno (R)22.5%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-124
We project 4.9 H vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Willi Castro (R)26.8%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)22.4%3.0
3. Troy Johnston (L)18.0%3.0
4. Brett Sullivan (L)25.0%3.0
5. Edouard Julien (L)19.6%2.7
6. Kyle Karros (R)21.7%2.0
7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
8. Braxton Fulford (R)20.9%2.0
9. Chad Stevens (R)20.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-139+105
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)17.0%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)24.9%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)22.9%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)23.9%3.0
5. Mauricio Dubón (R)22.8%3.0
6. Austin Riley (R)20.7%2.0
7. Dominic Smith (L)23.4%2.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)19.8%2.0
9. Sandy León (R)19.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-133
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB25.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Paul Goldschmidt (R)27.3%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)23.1%3.0
3. Ryan McMahon (L)21.9%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)24.5%2.0
5. José Caballero (R)23.6%2.0
6. Trent Grisham (L)21.4%2.0
7. Anthony Volpe (R)23.7%2.0
8. Max Schuemann (R)21.1%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)17.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+113-150
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB20.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)21.8%3.0
2. José Ramírez (R)26.2%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)25.6%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.1%3.0
5. David Fry (R)20.3%2.2
6. Kyle Manzardo (L)25.4%2.0
7. Petey Halpin (L)19.6%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)22.0%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (R)22.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-156+117
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Xavier Edwards (L)26.4%3.0
2. Liam Hicks (L)23.3%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)24.4%3.0
4. Leo Jiménez (R)22.8%3.0
5. Javier Sanoja (R)24.5%3.0
6. Jakob Marsee (L)20.6%2.5
7. Connor Norby (R)20.9%2.0
8. Heriberto Hernández (R)21.9%2.0
9. Esteury Ruiz (R)22.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-160+120
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Starling Marte (R)22.9%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.6%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.7%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)20.3%3.0
5. Jac Caglianone (L)21.4%3.0
6. Isaac Collins (L)20.5%3.0
7. Michael Massey (L)22.5%2.5
8. Nick Loftin (R)19.6%2.0
9. Lane Thomas (R)19.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-151+114
We project 5.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.4%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)24.3%3.0
3. Santiago Espinal (R)24.3%3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R)20.8%3.0
5. Kyle Tucker (L)20.3%2.3
6. Max Muncy (L)21.1%2.0
7. Alex Call (R)20.8%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)20.7%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+115-153
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)25.0%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.5%3.0
3. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)21.1%3.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.1%3.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)26.1%3.0
6. Oneil Cruz (L)20.5%2.7
7. Jake Mangum (L)23.1%2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R)20.4%2.0
9. Henry Davis (R)16.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-123-108
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Austin Martin (R)21.3%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)23.3%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)22.0%3.0
4. James Outman (L)18.9%3.0
5. Trevor Larnach (L)23.2%3.0
6. Orlando Arcia (R)24.4%3.0
7. Luke Keaschall (R)23.8%3.0
8. Tristan Gray (L)21.9%2.3
9. Alex Jackson (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.6%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)21.7%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)25.8%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.7%3.0
4. Jake Burger (R)23.8%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)25.2%3.0
6. Alejandro Osuna (L)21.3%3.0
7. Kyle Higashioka (R)20.8%2.6
8. Nicky Lopez (L)21.5%2.0
9. Michael Helman (R)20.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+104-139
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate28.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.8%
vs RHB26.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.1 BF
Expected batters faced19.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%3.0
2. Rafael Devers (L)23.7%2.1
3. Luis Arraez (L)27.5%2.0
4. Willy Adames (R)23.9%2.0
5. Victor Bericoto (R)22.5%2.0
6. Matt Chapman (R)22.1%2.0
7. Bryce Eldridge (L)20.2%2.0
8. Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.5%2.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)25.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
We project 5.3 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.3%
vs RHB24.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)22.9%3.0
2. Willson Contreras (R)25.7%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)19.5%3.0
4. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.9%3.0
5. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)28.5%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)20.0%2.0
7. Marcelo Mayer (L)20.4%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)23.4%2.0
9. Carlos Narváez (R)19.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+110-146
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.6%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nico Hoerner (R)25.3%3.0
2. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.4%3.0
3. Alex Bregman (R)23.2%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)22.5%3.0
5. Ian Happ (R)18.9%2.4
6. Carson Kelly (R)24.6%2.0
7. Michael Busch (L)19.6%2.0
8. Michael Conforto (L)22.6%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)20.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.5%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)25.9%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.4%3.0
3. Richie Palacios (L)20.7%3.0
4. Junior Caminero (R)23.7%3.0
5. Chandler Simpson (L)26.0%3.0
6. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)22.3%3.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)18.8%2.5
8. Nick Fortes (R)23.1%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (L)19.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-153+115
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nathan Lukes (L)25.9%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)25.6%3.0
3. Myles Straw (R)23.4%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)17.7%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)27.9%3.0
6. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.5%2.8
7. Charles McAdoo (R)22.5%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)20.9%2.0
9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)22.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.1 BF
Expected batters faced25.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.9%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)24.8%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)23.5%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)23.3%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)25.2%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)22.3%3.0
7. Victor Robles (R)22.1%3.0
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)20.1%2.1
9. Colt Emerson (L)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+125-167
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB28.6%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.6%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)23.6%3.0
3. Jordan Walker (R)21.0%3.0
4. Nelson Velázquez (R)23.3%3.0
5. Alec Burleson (L)20.9%3.0
6. Masyn Winn (R)23.1%2.3
7. Victor Scott II (L)24.0%2.0
8. Nolan Gorman (L)21.4%2.0
9. Pedro Pagés (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+112-149
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 5.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
30 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Ranger SuarezP
BOS@CLE· proj #17
8HFinal
T1
Michael WachaP
KC@TEX· proj #23
8HFinal
T1
Merrill KellyP
AZ@SEA· proj #29
8HFinal
4
Spencer StriderP
ATL@CIN· proj #6
7HFinal
T4
Andrew PainterP
PHI@LAD· proj #20
7HFinal
6
Griffin CanningP
SD@WSH· proj #7
6HFinal
T6
Will WarrenP
NYY@ATH· proj #11
6HFinal
T6
Zebby MatthewsP
MIN@PIT· proj #21
6HFinal
T6
Tanner GordonP
COLvsSF· proj #24
6HFinal
T6
Tanner BibeeP
CLEvsBOS· proj #25
6HFinal
11
Spencer MilesP
TOR@BAL· proj #2
5HFinal
T11
Zack LittellP
WSHvsSD· proj #9
5HFinal
T11
Robbie RayP
SF@COL· proj #14
5HFinal
T11
Nick LodoloP
CINvsATL· proj #15
5HFinal
T11
Jacob LopezP
ATHvsNYY· proj #16
5HFinal
T11
Braxton AshcraftP
PITvsMIN· proj #22
5HFinal
T11
Jack KochanowiczP
LAA@TB· proj #27
5HFinal
18
Shane McClanahanP
TBvsLAA· proj #5
4HFinal
T18
Yoshinobu YamamotoP
LADvsPHI· proj #10
4HFinal
T18
Kyle BradishP
BALvsTOR· proj #28
4HFinal
T18
Jordan WicksP
CHC@STL· proj #30
4HFinal
22
Tatsuya ImaiP
HOUvsMIL· proj #3
3HFinal
T22
Jacob MisiorowskiP
MIL@HOU· proj #4
3HFinal
T22
Sean BurkeP
CWSvsDET· proj #8
3HFinal
T22
Jack LeiterP
TEXvsKC· proj #19
3HFinal
T22
Matthew LiberatoreP
STLvsCHC· proj #26
3HFinal
27
John KingP
MIA@NYM· proj #1
2HFinal
T27
Keider MonteroP
DET@CWS· proj #12
2HFinal
T27
Nolan McLeanP
NYMvsMIA· proj #18
2HFinal
30
Bryce MillerP
SEAvsAZ· proj #13
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
1/425%
season 43%-18 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
3/933%
season 46%-13 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
8/1942%
season building
Top 50
11/2938%
season building
Full slate
11/2938%
season 48%-10 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Sunday, May 31, 2026
John King (MIA) is the top hits allowed spot on the Sunday, May 31, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.6 H, with Spencer Miles (TOR) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: John King
John King (MIA) tops the Sunday, May 31, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.6 H vs NYM. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Spencer Miles (TOR) (70) — about 2.9 H vs BAL.
Tatsuya Imai (HOU) (55) — about 3.6 H vs MIL.
Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) (43) — about 4.1 H vs HOU.
Shane McClanahan (TB) (41) — about 4.1 H vs LAA.
Spencer Strider (ATL) (40) — about 4.2 H vs CIN.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.2 H. John King finished with 2. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Sunday, May 31, 2026)?
John King (MIA) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.6 H against NYM.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Sunday, May 31, 2026: John King (~1.6 H), Spencer Miles (~2.9 H), Tatsuya Imai (~3.6 H), Jacob Misiorowski (~4.1 H), Shane McClanahan (~4.1 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
