‹ Hits Allowed · Sunday, May 31, 2026
MIN @ PIT Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, May 31, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
3–9
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 68°F SunnyWind 3 mph, In From CF
Zebby Matthews · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-123-108
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)25.0%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.5%3.0 PA
3Jhostynxon Garcia (R)21.1%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.1%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)26.1%3.0 PA
6Oneil Cruz (L)20.5%2.7 PA
7Jake Mangum (L)23.1%2.0 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)20.4%2.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)16.5%2.0 PA
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+117-156
We project 5.3 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)21.3%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)23.3%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)22.0%3.0 PA
4James Outman (L)18.9%3.0 PA
5Trevor Larnach (L)23.2%3.0 PA
6Orlando Arcia (R)24.4%3.0 PA
7Luke Keaschall (R)23.8%3.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)21.9%2.3 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)21.6%2.0 PA