MatchWiz Plays
Hits Allowed · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

DET @ TB Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
72
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

DET Troy Melton · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.0% Hits / BF

vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-140
FANFanatics+120-170

We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)26.1%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)24.1%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)24.3%3.0 PA
4Yandy Díaz (R)25.6%3.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)20.4%3.0 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)23.7%2.8 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)18.1%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)23.5%2.0 PA
9Victor Mesa Jr. (L)21.2%2.0 PA

TB Nick Martinez · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139

We project 5.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Gleyber Torres (R)23.5%3.0 PA
2Kevin McGonigle (L)24.1%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)22.3%3.0 PA
4Kerry Carpenter (L)24.2%3.0 PA
5Riley Greene (L)26.2%3.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)20.6%3.0 PA
7Zack Short (R)20.1%2.7 PA
8Matt Vierling (R)19.9%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)17.7%2.0 PA