Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Wednesday, June 3, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, June 3, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.6 BF
Expected batters faced16.6
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Heriberto Hernández (R)22.8%2.0
2. Otto Lopez (R)30.9%2.0
3. Kyle Stowers (L)21.3%2.0
4. Xavier Edwards (R)24.1%2.0
5. Liam Hicks (L)19.3%2.0
6. Jakob Marsee (L)19.0%2.0
7. Owen Caissie (L)21.9%2.0
8. Javier Sanoja (R)21.8%1.6
9. Joe Mack (L)22.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
DKDraftKings+122-162
We project 3.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate15.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB17.5%
vs RHB16.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Geraldo Perdomo (L)21.2%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)22.1%3.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)22.2%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)23.7%3.0
5. Pavin Smith (L)21.1%3.0
6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)23.1%2.5
7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)21.4%2.0
8. Jose Fernandez (R)22.7%2.0
9. Tommy Troy (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
We project 4.0 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)19.5%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.4%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.1%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)19.6%3.0
5. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.0%2.5
6. Isaac Collins (L)20.4%2.0
7. Michael Massey (L)22.3%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)19.1%2.0
9. Lane Thomas (R)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB18.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Masyn Winn (R)22.6%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)23.7%3.0
3. Jordan Walker (R)21.5%3.0
4. Nelson Velázquez (R)23.5%2.9
5. Alec Burleson (L)20.5%2.0
6. José Fermín (R)17.9%2.0
7. Nolan Gorman (L)21.1%2.0
8. Thomas Saggese (R)20.9%2.0
9. Victor Scott II (L)22.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.2%
vs RHB20.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.1 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Travis Bazzana (L)27.1%3.0
2. José Ramírez (L)19.1%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)19.7%3.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L)20.0%3.0
5. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.2%2.8
6. Angel Martínez (L)20.0%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)22.0%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)19.4%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)24.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 4.1 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.2% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB18.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.6%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)21.4%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (R)20.8%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)21.9%3.0
5. Coby Mayo (R)24.6%3.0
6. Samuel Basallo (L)22.8%2.0
7. Tyler O'Neill (R)19.0%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)19.3%2.0
9. Colton Cowser (L)20.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate16.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB16.3%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)24.1%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.5%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)21.6%3.0
4. Nick Gonzales (R)27.2%3.0
5. Jake Mangum (L)24.9%3.0
6. Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.6%3.0
7. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)21.1%2.3
8. Jared Triolo (R)20.1%2.0
9. Endy Rodríguez (L)21.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)25.4%3.0
2. Zach Cole (L)19.8%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)21.6%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)18.8%3.0
5. Cam Smith (R)21.3%2.9
6. Jake Meyers (R)23.0%2.0
7. Brice Matthews (R)20.1%2.0
8. Nick Allen (R)21.4%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)22.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB19.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%3.0
2. Rafael Devers (L)19.6%3.0
3. Luis Arraez (L)24.1%3.0
4. Willy Adames (R)20.2%3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)23.8%2.0
6. Matt Chapman (R)21.1%2.0
7. Bryce Eldridge (L)22.2%2.0
8. Daniel Susac (R)25.9%2.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)17.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.4% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nico Hoerner (R)26.3%3.0
2. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.6%3.0
3. Alex Bregman (R)21.8%3.0
4. Seiya Suzuki (R)20.5%3.0
5. Ian Happ (R)18.1%3.0
6. Dansby Swanson (R)19.7%2.2
7. Michael Busch (L)19.7%2.0
8. Pedro Ramírez (R)22.5%2.0
9. Kevin Alcántara (R)21.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.4%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)23.2%3.0
2. Dylan Crews (R)23.0%3.0
3. Curtis Mead (R)22.3%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)24.3%3.0
5. Jacob Young (R)22.7%3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)23.5%2.5
7. Keibert Ruiz (L)23.0%2.0
8. Luis García Jr. (L)24.3%2.0
9. José Tena (L)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-106-125
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 4.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chad Stevens (R)19.1%3.0
2. Tyler Freeman (R)24.2%3.0
3. TJ Rumfield (L)24.5%3.0
4. Braxton Fulford (R)22.3%3.0
5. Troy Johnston (L)28.9%2.5
6. Willi Castro (L)21.6%2.0
7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.5%2.0
8. Kyle Karros (R)19.7%2.0
9. Edouard Julien (L)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102
We project 4.7 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.2%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)19.2%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)23.6%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)23.0%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)28.1%2.5
5. Alec Bohm (R)20.7%2.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)19.8%2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)23.0%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)17.8%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)17.3%3.0
2. Michael Harris II (L)25.9%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)22.2%3.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)25.1%2.7
5. Mauricio Dubón (R)22.6%2.0
6. Austin Riley (R)20.5%2.0
7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)19.8%2.0
8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)18.1%2.0
9. Sandy León (R)19.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.2%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Blake Dunn (R)22.2%3.0
2. JJ Bleday (L)21.8%3.0
3. Sal Stewart (R)22.6%3.0
4. Dane Myers (R)22.0%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)20.4%3.0
6. Spencer Steer (R)22.6%2.8
7. Will Benson (L)19.8%2.0
8. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.5%2.0
9. Noelvi Marte (R)22.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.1%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.7 BF
Expected batters faced25.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)22.2%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)24.3%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)19.3%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)22.4%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)21.6%3.0
6. José Caballero (R)22.7%3.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L)20.9%3.0
8. Austin Wells (L)20.2%2.7
9. Anthony Volpe (R)19.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.5%
vs RHB23.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)24.8%3.0
2. Luisangel Acuña (R)20.9%3.0
3. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.2%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)20.3%3.0
5. Chase Meidroth (R)22.4%3.0
6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.5%2.8
7. Tristan Peters (L)27.3%2.0
8. Drew Romo (L)19.7%2.0
9. Derek Hill (R)21.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-165+124
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.0%
vs RHB21.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Chandler Simpson (L)26.1%3.0
2. Junior Caminero (R)24.1%3.0
3. Jonathan Aranda (L)24.3%3.0
4. Yandy Díaz (R)25.6%3.0
5. Richie Palacios (L)20.4%3.0
6. Ben Williamson (R)23.7%2.8
7. Cedric Mullins (L)18.1%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)23.5%2.0
9. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)21.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-140
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 4.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Henry Bolte (R)21.0%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)24.3%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)21.4%3.0
4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)23.0%3.0
5. Brent Rooker (R)20.5%3.0
6. Lawrence Butler (L)18.8%2.4
7. Zack Gelof (R)22.9%2.0
8. Jeff McNeil (L)22.2%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)21.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.9%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. James Outman (L)18.2%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)24.7%3.0
3. Trevor Larnach (L)23.5%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)22.4%2.9
5. Austin Martin (R)20.8%2.0
6. Victor Caratini (L)20.6%2.0
7. Luke Keaschall (R)23.4%2.0
8. Ryan Kreidler (R)20.6%2.0
9. Orlando Arcia (R)23.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)22.9%3.0
2. Josh Jung (R)26.0%3.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.0%3.0
4. Jake Burger (R)22.0%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)25.8%2.7
6. Cody Freeman (R)23.0%2.0
7. Justin Foscue (R)20.3%2.0
8. Kyle Higashioka (R)22.4%2.0
9. Michael Helman (R)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-115-125
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Nathan Lukes (L)27.3%3.0
2. Myles Straw (R)23.2%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)25.0%3.0
4. Jesús Sánchez (L)26.8%3.0
5. Ernie Clement (R)29.6%2.0
6. Daulton Varsho (L)21.7%2.0
7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)18.4%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)20.4%2.0
9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.9%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)23.9%3.0
3. Josh Naylor (L)22.3%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)23.0%3.0
5. Luke Raley (L)24.4%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)22.6%3.0
7. Rob Refsnyder (R)20.9%2.1
8. Jhonny Pereda (R)23.3%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)24.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
We project 5.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB24.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.2%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)24.2%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)25.4%3.0
4. Miguel Rojas (R)21.3%3.0
5. Kyle Tucker (L)19.4%2.3
6. Santiago Espinal (R)23.8%2.0
7. Will Smith (R)23.4%2.0
8. Alex Call (R)20.4%2.0
9. Alex Freeland (L)21.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-124
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.8% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.8%
vs RHB24.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carson Benge (L)21.7%3.0
2. Bo Bichette (R)19.9%3.0
3. Juan Soto (L)24.4%3.0
4. Jared Young (L)22.9%3.0
5. Brett Baty (L)22.0%3.0
6. Marcus Semien (R)20.7%3.0
7. A.J. Ewing (L)22.6%2.2
8. MJ Melendez (L)19.1%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)20.2%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+101-134
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.6%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)23.6%3.0
2. Andrew Vaughn (R)24.7%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)23.1%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)24.8%3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L)22.7%3.0
6. Jackson Chourio (R)24.1%3.0
7. Blake Perkins (L)16.8%2.6
8. Luis Rengifo (L)21.9%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)19.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.9%
vs RHB23.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)23.4%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.1%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)19.4%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)24.7%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)22.1%3.0
6. Mickey Gasper (L)25.3%2.0
7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)27.3%2.0
8. Marcelo Mayer (L)20.6%2.0
9. Caleb Durbin (R)20.8%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate27.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB30.3%
vs RHB23.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jo Adell (R)19.8%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)20.2%3.0
3. Wade Meckler (L)25.9%3.0
4. Vaughn Grissom (R)22.4%3.0
5. Oswald Peraza (R)23.7%3.0
6. Donovan Walton (L)25.1%2.2
7. Nick Madrigal (R)23.7%2.0
8. Jose Siri (R)20.9%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)19.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+102-136
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 5.8 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.4% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.7 BF
Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Gleyber Torres (R)23.5%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)24.1%3.0
3. Dillon Dingler (R)22.3%3.0
4. Kerry Carpenter (L)24.2%3.0
5. Riley Greene (L)26.2%3.0
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)20.6%3.0
7. Zack Short (R)20.1%2.7
8. Matt Vierling (R)19.9%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)17.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+105-139
We project 5.9 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB23.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload27.0 BF
Expected batters faced27.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection6.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.7% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)26.8%3.0
2. Miguel Andujar (R)23.3%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)22.2%3.0
4. Freddy Fermin (R)21.3%3.0
5. Xander Bogaerts (R)22.6%3.0
6. Ty France (R)24.7%3.0
7. Jackson Merrill (L)22.0%3.0
8. Bryce Johnson (R)19.4%3.0
9. Samad Taylor (R)21.9%3.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 6.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
30 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Michael LorenzenP
COL@LAA· proj #28
10HFinal
2
MacKenzie GoreP
TEX@STL· proj #4
9HFinal
T2
Zac GallenP
AZvsLAD· proj #24
9HFinal
T2
George KirbyP
SEAvsNYM· proj #25
9HFinal
T2
Nick MartinezP
TBvsDET· proj #29
9HFinal
6
Payton TolleP
BOSvsBAL· proj #6
7HFinal
T6
Jeffrey SpringsP
ATH@CHC· proj #10
7HFinal
T6
Taj BradleyP
MINvsCWS· proj #17
7HFinal
9
Gerrit ColeP
NYYvsCLE· proj #5
6HFinal
T9
Spencer ArrighettiP
HOUvsPIT· proj #7
6HFinal
T9
Paul SkenesP
PIT@HOU· proj #8
6HFinal
T9
Patrick CorbinP
TOR@ATL· proj #14
6HFinal
T9
Stephen KolekP
KC@CIN· proj #15
6HFinal
T9
Freddy PeraltaP
NYM@SEA· proj #23
6HFinal
T9
Chris BassittP
BAL@BOS· proj #27
6HFinal
16
Robert GasserP
MILvsSF· proj #9
5HFinal
T16
Grant HolmesP
ATLvsTOR· proj #22
5HFinal
18
Andrew AlvarezP
WSHvsMIA· proj #1
4HFinal
T18
Chase BurnsP
CINvsKC· proj #3
4HFinal
T18
Walker BuehlerP
SD@PHI· proj #13
4HFinal
T18
Gavin WilliamsP
CLE@NYY· proj #16
4HFinal
T18
Troy MeltonP
DET@TB· proj #18
4HFinal
T18
Colin ReaP
CHCvsATH· proj #19
4HFinal
T18
Cristopher SánchezP
PHIvsSD· proj #30
4HFinal
25
Walbert UreñaP
LAAvsCOL· proj #12
3HFinal
T25
Andre PallanteP
STLvsTEX· proj #21
3HFinal
27
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@AZ· 3-for-4· proj #2
2HFinal
T27
Max MeyerP
MIA@WSH· proj #11
2HFinal
T27
Erick FeddeP
CWS@MIN· proj #20
2HFinal
30
Logan WebbP
SF@MIL· proj #26
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
3/475%
season 43%+32 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
4/667%
season 46%+21 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
8/1173%
season building
Top 50
16/2176%
season building
Full slate
16/2176%
season 48%+28 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Wednesday, June 3, 2026
Andrew Alvarez (WSH) is the top hits allowed spot on the Wednesday, June 3, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 3.7 H, with Shohei Ohtani (LAD) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez (WSH) tops the Wednesday, June 3, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 3.7 H vs MIA. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (91) — about 4.0 H vs AZ.
Chase Burns (CIN) (85) — about 4.1 H vs KC.
MacKenzie Gore (TEX) (84) — about 4.1 H vs STL.
Gerrit Cole (NYY) (84) — about 4.1 H vs CLE.
Payton Tolle (BOS) (75) — about 4.3 H vs BAL.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 5.6 H. Andrew Alvarez finished with 4. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Wednesday, June 3, 2026)?
Andrew Alvarez (WSH) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 3.7 H against MIA.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Wednesday, June 3, 2026: Andrew Alvarez (~3.7 H), Shohei Ohtani (~4.0 H), Chase Burns (~4.1 H), MacKenzie Gore (~4.1 H), Gerrit Cole (~4.1 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
