‹ Hits Allowed · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
PIT @ HOU Hits Allowed matchups · Wednesday, June 3, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
9–11
Final
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)25.4%3.0 PA
2Zach Cole (L)19.8%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)21.6%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)18.8%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)21.3%2.9 PA
6Jake Meyers (R)23.0%2.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)20.1%2.0 PA
8Nick Allen (R)21.4%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)22.7%2.0 PA
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate16.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB16.3%
vs RHB19.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)24.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)23.5%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)27.2%3.0 PA
5Jake Mangum (L)24.9%3.0 PA
6Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.6%3.0 PA
7Jhostynxon Garcia (R)21.1%2.3 PA
8Jared Triolo (R)20.1%2.0 PA
9Endy Rodríguez (L)21.7%2.0 PA