‹ Hits Allowed · Thursday, June 4, 2026
KC @ MIN Hits Allowed matchups · Thursday, June 4, 2026
KC
Kansas City Royals
8–6
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 83°F CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To LF
Seth Lugo · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.1 BF
Expected batters faced25.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-128-103
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)21.8%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)24.0%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)21.5%3.0 PA
4Austin Martin (R)20.6%3.0 PA
5Josh Bell (L)22.2%3.0 PA
6Luke Keaschall (R)23.7%3.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)20.3%3.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)23.5%2.1 PA
9Orlando Arcia (R)23.0%2.0 PA
Andrew Morris · RHP
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.4 BF
Expected batters faced9.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)19.1%1.4 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.5%1.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.7%1.0 PA
4Tyler Tolbert (R)23.0%1.0 PA
5Lane Thomas (R)19.4%1.0 PA
6Isaac Collins (L)19.8%1.0 PA
7Alex Lange (R)22.5%1.0 PA
8Josh Rojas (L)18.1%1.0 PA
9Kyle Isbel (L)22.5%1.0 PA