Best MLB hits allowed matchups — Thursday, June 4, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, June 4, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Results show how each call played out.
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload8.5 BF
Expected batters faced8.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)17.9%1.0
2. Mauricio Dubón (R)21.9%1.0
3. Matt Olson (L)23.6%1.0
4. Ozzie Albies (R)26.2%1.0
5. Michael Harris II (L)24.5%1.0
6. Dominic Smith (L)23.7%1.0
7. Austin Riley (R)20.4%1.0
8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)19.9%1.0
9. Austin Wynns (R)20.0%0.5
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.6%
vs RHB24.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.4 BF
Expected batters faced9.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.0 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)19.1%1.4
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)23.5%1.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)22.7%1.0
4. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.0%1.0
5. Lane Thomas (R)19.4%1.0
6. Isaac Collins (L)19.8%1.0
7. Alex Lange (R)22.5%1.0
8. Josh Rojas (L)18.1%1.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)22.5%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate17.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB18.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload15.9 BF
Expected batters faced15.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Spencer Horwitz (L)24.4%2.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.1%2.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)21.7%2.0
4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)24.3%2.0
5. Nick Gonzales (R)27.5%2.0
6. Oneil Cruz (L)21.3%2.0
7. Endy Rodríguez (L)21.8%1.9
8. Jake Mangum (L)25.0%1.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)19.2%1.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB17.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.8%3.0
2. Michael Conforto (L)20.1%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)22.5%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)23.6%3.0
5. Ian Happ (L)23.9%2.5
6. Nico Hoerner (R)20.5%2.0
7. Kevin Alcántara (R)22.2%2.0
8. Seiya Suzuki (R)21.4%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)18.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+121-162
We project 4.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB16.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Manzardo (L)24.9%3.0
2. José Ramírez (R)26.9%3.0
3. Rhys Hoskins (R)19.4%3.0
4. Travis Bazzana (L)20.0%2.4
5. Angel Martínez (R)23.3%2.0
6. Chase DeLauter (L)27.1%2.0
7. Steven Kwan (L)19.5%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)22.9%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (R)23.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 4.4 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)19.3%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)23.6%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)23.0%3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L)28.5%2.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)20.9%2.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)19.8%2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)23.3%2.0
8. Adolis García (R)18.4%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)20.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-150
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+124-165
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 4.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate18.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB18.3%
vs RHB21.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.0% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.5%3.0
2. Gavin Sheets (L)22.6%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)17.2%3.0
4. Ty France (R)22.8%3.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)20.3%3.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.8%2.3
7. Miguel Andujar (R)23.9%2.0
8. Jase Bowen (R)22.5%2.0
9. Bryce Johnson (L)23.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-150+113
We project 4.6 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate19.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB19.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.8 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.9% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. George Springer (R)21.3%3.0
2. Ernie Clement (R)22.8%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)24.4%3.0
4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)23.8%3.0
5. Andrés Giménez (L)18.5%3.0
6. Nathan Lukes (L)20.3%3.0
7. Myles Straw (R)20.2%2.6
8. Tyler Heineman (R)23.1%2.0
9. Daulton Varsho (L)23.1%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-136+103
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 4.8 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.3%
vs RHB20.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.8% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)25.8%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)24.0%3.0
3. Christian Walker (R)21.4%3.0
4. Isaac Paredes (R)19.4%3.0
5. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)16.9%2.5
6. Cam Smith (R)21.5%2.0
7. Taylor Trammell (L)22.7%2.0
8. Collin Price (R)22.5%2.0
9. Jake Meyers (R)22.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-104-127
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate22.5% Hits / BF
vs LHB22.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.2 BF
Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection4.9 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Casey Schmitt (R)21.6%3.0
2. Buddy Kennedy (R)21.3%3.0
3. Jonah Cox (R)22.5%3.0
4. Willy Adames (R)23.4%2.2
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)30.1%2.0
6. Bryce Eldridge (L)22.5%2.0
7. Matt Chapman (R)22.0%2.0
8. Eric Haase (R)24.5%2.0
9. Drew Gilbert (L)24.6%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+100-132
We project 4.9 H vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.9% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.2 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Mookie Betts (R)19.1%3.0
2. Freddie Freeman (L)25.2%3.0
3. Andy Pages (R)24.3%3.0
4. Kyle Tucker (L)21.0%3.0
5. Will Smith (R)23.7%3.0
6. Santiago Espinal (R)23.8%2.7
7. Alex Call (R)20.4%2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L)21.6%2.0
9. Miguel Rojas (R)21.3%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-120
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+101-133
We project 5.2 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB24.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Jarren Duran (L)22.7%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)22.8%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)29.2%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)22.8%2.6
5. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.5%2.0
6. Anthony Seigler (R)24.5%2.0
7. Caleb Durbin (R)20.6%2.0
8. Carlos Narváez (R)23.8%2.0
9. Connor Wong (R)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+112-148
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB27.4%
vs RHB22.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.3 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.1% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)23.7%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)24.1%3.0
3. Gary Sánchez (R)17.0%3.0
4. Joey Ortiz (R)19.1%3.0
5. Blake Perkins (L)16.8%2.9
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)23.7%2.0
7. Sal Frelick (L)22.7%2.0
8. Luis Rengifo (L)21.8%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)20.7%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-125-106
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 5.3 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.6% Hits / BF
vs LHB21.0%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.6 BF
Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.4 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Henry Bolte (R)25.7%3.0
2. Nick Kurtz (L)22.5%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)25.2%3.0
4. Lawrence Butler (L)20.3%3.0
5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)22.7%3.0
6. Jonah Heim (R)22.1%3.0
7. Zack Gelof (R)22.6%2.6
8. Darell Hernaiz (R)21.2%2.0
9. Alika Williams (R)20.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-108-122
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 5.4 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate26.1% Hits / BF
vs LHB24.1%
vs RHB26.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.5 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness21.6% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)21.6%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)24.2%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)19.6%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)22.2%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)22.0%3.0
6. José Caballero (R)23.5%2.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L)20.2%2.0
8. J.C. Escarra (L)19.1%2.0
9. Max Schuemann (R)21.5%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+118-157
We project 5.5 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.0% Hits / BF
vs LHB25.2%
vs RHB23.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.6 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.2% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)20.1%3.0
2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.3%3.0
3. Adley Rutschman (L)21.4%3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R)23.3%3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L)24.0%3.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)24.1%2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L)23.1%2.0
8. Coby Mayo (R)18.3%2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L)23.4%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-110-120
We project 5.6 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate20.7% Hits / BF
vs LHB20.4%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness23.5% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (R)25.6%3.0
2. Corbin Carroll (L)27.3%3.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)23.8%3.0
4. Nolan Arenado (R)21.4%3.0
5. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)25.5%3.0
6. Adrian Del Castillo (L)20.0%3.0
7. Geraldo Perdomo (R)19.7%3.0
8. Jose Fernandez (R)22.7%2.5
9. Tommy Troy (R)25.9%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 5.7 H vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.3% Hits / BF
vs LHB23.7%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%
How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.1 BF
Expected batters faced25.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection5.7 H
Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · hit-proneness22.3% avg
BatterRateExp PA
1. Byron Buxton (R)21.8%3.0
2. Brooks Lee (L)24.0%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)21.5%3.0
4. Austin Martin (R)20.6%3.0
5. Josh Bell (L)22.2%3.0
6. Luke Keaschall (R)23.7%3.0
7. Victor Caratini (L)20.3%3.0
8. Tristan Gray (L)23.5%2.1
9. Orlando Arcia (R)23.0%2.0
Each hitter's hits allowed rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Hits Allowed Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-128-103
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 5.7 H vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
18 with a HLive count — updates as games play
1
Chris SaleP
ATLvsTOR· proj #8
10HFinal
2
Coleman CrowP
MILvsSF· proj #10
9HFinal
3
Kai-Wei TengP
HOUvsPIT· proj #3
7HFinal
T3
Brayan BelloP
BOSvsBAL· proj #16
7HFinal
5
Lucas GiolitoP
SD@PHI· proj #6
6HFinal
T5
Shota ImanagaP
CHCvsATH· proj #14
6HFinal
T5
Justin WrobleskiP
LAD@AZ· proj #17
6HFinal
T5
Seth LugoP
KC@MIN· proj #18
6HFinal
9
Andrew MorrisP
MINvsKC· proj #2
5HFinal
T9
Ryne NelsonP
AZvsLAD· proj #11
5HFinal
T9
Trevor RogersP
BAL@BOS· proj #12
5HFinal
T9
Adrian HouserP
SF@MIL· proj #13
5HFinal
13
Jared JonesP
PIT@HOU· proj #9
4HFinal
T13
Slade CecconiP
CLE@NYY· proj #15
4HFinal
15
J.T. GinnP
ATH@CHC· proj #4
2HFinal
T15
Carlos RodónP
NYYvsCLE· proj #5
2HFinal
T15
Zack WheelerP
PHIvsSD· proj #7
2HFinal
18
Mason FluhartyP
TOR@ATL· proj #1
1HFinal
How the board graded
Share of our top-ranked hitters that hit the mark, next to the season-to-date rate.
Top 5
2/2100%
season 43%+57 pts-26% ROI
Top 10
4/757%
season 46%+11 pts-21% ROI
Top 20
10/1567%
season building
Top 50
10/1567%
season building
Full slate
10/1567%
season 48%+19 pts-15% ROI
“Hit” is the green check on the card — the mark. Pools are our pre-game top-ranked matchups; only settled (final) outcomes count. Season-to-date is every graded day this season.
Best MLB Hits Allowed Matchups — Thursday, June 4, 2026
Mason Fluharty (TOR) is the top hits allowed spot on the Thursday, June 4, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H, with Andrew Morris (MIN) right behind. Every starter is ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Mason Fluharty
Mason Fluharty (TOR) tops the Thursday, June 4, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H vs ATL. His hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes.
The rest of the top of the board
Andrew Morris (MIN) (95) — about 2.0 H vs KC.
Kai-Wei Teng (HOU) (65) — about 3.2 H vs PIT.
J.T. Ginn (ATH) (38) — about 4.2 H vs CHC.
Carlos Rodón (NYY) (35) — about 4.4 H vs CLE.
Lucas Giolito (SD) (33) — about 4.4 H vs PHI.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 4.8 H. Mason Fluharty finished with 1. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the hits allowed board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. We project a hits allowed count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best hits allowed matchup today (Thursday, June 4, 2026)?
Mason Fluharty (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.8 H against ATL.
What are the best pitcher hits allowed props today?
The top projected starts on Thursday, June 4, 2026: Mason Fluharty (~1.8 H), Andrew Morris (~2.0 H), Kai-Wei Teng (~3.2 H), J.T. Ginn (~4.2 H), Carlos Rodón (~4.4 H). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the hits allowed score calculated?
Ranked by the fewest hits they're projected to allow — his hit-suppression, the lineup he faces, and how deep he goes. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected hits allowed count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best hits allowed spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
